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Yield on 10-year Treasury Hovers Near 5%
The Wall Street Journal5d agobearish
Yield on 10-year Treasury Hovers Near 5%

The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note is still hovering just below 5%, pushed in different directions Monday by energy and stock markets. Treasury yields, which rise when bond prices fall, have been closely tracking oil prices, which were up again Monday. The 10-year yield was choppy Friday but ultimately ended the day higher after slightly warmer-than-expected inflation data reinforced bets that the Federal Reserve will vote to raise interest rates at its meeting Wednesday.

Stocks Stumble Ahead of Highly-Anticipated Inflation Report
Barrons.com9d agobearish
Stocks Stumble Ahead of Highly-Anticipated Inflation Report

Today's wholesale inflation data sets the stage for tomorrow's consumer price index release, with investors watching closely for signs inflation is spreading beyond energy. The producer price index rose as expected in August, which prompted a move lower in equities, intensified bond yield rises, and caused a jump in odds of a rate hike from the Federal Reserve. The S&P 500 dropped 0.6% while the Nasdaq Composite declined 0.6%.

Did the Hawkish ECB Help Fuel the Treasury Selloff?
The Wall Street Journal9d agobearish
Did the Hawkish ECB Help Fuel the Treasury Selloff?

The ECB lifted some of its inflation forecasts and warned inflation is “set to remain well above target for an extended period.” Capital Economics described the ECB's latest language as “somewhat hawkish.” ECB decisions aren’t usually a major focus for U.S. investors, but the statement appeared to add fuel to the selloff in the U.S. Treasury market, which was already under pressure from higher oil prices.

Stock Futures Drop on Strong Jobs Report
Barrons.com15d agobearish
Stock Futures Drop on Strong Jobs Report

Stocks pulled back after the August jobs report came in strong. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell 0.2%, or 129 points, while S&P 500 futures slipped 0.2%. Tech stocks held onto modest gains with Nasdaq 100 futures up 0.

Treasury Yields Extend Decline as Odds of Fed Hike Fall
Barrons.com16d agobearish
Treasury Yields Extend Decline as Odds of Fed Hike Fall

Treasury yields are on pace for a second consecutive daily decline, as markets trim odds of an interest rate increase this month to 50% from 63%. The drop in yields happens even as the factors driving them to recent highs remain in place.

What Scott Bessent Had to Say About the Bond Market Selloff
The Wall Street Journal17d agobearish
What Scott Bessent Had to Say About the Bond Market Selloff

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has played down concerns over the bond market selloff this week as benchmark Treasury yields top 4.8%. Here’ s what he said at a G-20 finance ministers’ gathering in Asheville, N.

Bond Selloff Resumes After July Inflation Data
Barrons.com24d agobearish
Bond Selloff Resumes After July Inflation Data

The Fed’s closely-watched inflation gauge revealed prices were a bit higher than expected in July--bond traders don't like that. After taking a breather on Tuesday, bonds are selling off yet again. Yield were up across the board on Wednesday morning; both the 2-year and 10-year yield were up by around 0.

Treasury Yields Slip as Oil Futures Fall
Barrons.com25d agobearish
Treasury Yields Slip as Oil Futures Fall

Treasury yields fall alongside oil prices as the U.S. increases sanctions on Iran. Crude futures fall 3% and Brent trades below $90. The WSJ Dollar Index gives away overnight gains and is flat, while Bitcoin briefly jumps above $80,000, amid growing concerns that Washington will tolerate high inflation and expanding fiscal deficits.

Nasdaq Tumbles as Chip Stocks Hit a Wall
Barrons.com32d agobearish
Nasdaq Tumbles as Chip Stocks Hit a Wall

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 116 points, or 0.2%. The Nasdaq Composite fell 1.3%. A majority of Dow stocks actually closed higher, but shares of firms linked to the artificial intelligence trade weighed down the index.

Treasury Yields, Dollar Fall as Data Support Fed Hold
Barrons.com36d agobearish
Treasury Yields, Dollar Fall as Data Support Fed Hold

Treasury yields are on pace for a weekly decline following signs of cooling inflation that bolster odds of a Fed hold, not hike, next month. Oil prices edge higher as the supply chain remains choked in the Middle East and the White House threatens Iran with more economic isolation.

Bond Yields Drop and Stocks Rise After PCE Report
Barrons.com86d agobearish
Bond Yields Drop and Stocks Rise After PCE Report

Bond yields dropped and stocks kept rising after the Federal Reserve’s benchmark inflation gauge matched expectations. The core personal expenditures price index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices and is watched closely by the central bank, rose at a 0.

Treasury Yields, Dollar Rise as U.S.-Iran Talks Stumble Along
Barrons.com89d agobearish
Treasury Yields, Dollar Rise as U.S.-Iran Talks Stumble Along

Treasury yields and the dollar rise amid tense negotiations in the Middle East. Oil prices decline as mediators say U.S.-Iran talks will continue this week, following a rocky start. The long disruption in global oil supplies, however, keeps inflation fears elevated.

Treasury Yields Rise on Hawkish Waller, Falling Consumer Sentiment
Barrons.com120d agobearish
Treasury Yields Rise on Hawkish Waller, Falling Consumer Sentiment

Treasury yields rise as Fed governor Waller turns hawkish and U.S. consumer sentiment falls more than expected. Waller says a prolonged Middle East conflict increases the risk of energy inflation spreading across the economy, hence the Fed should stop signaling a rate cut as its most likely next move.

Treasury Yields Slip as Bond Selloff Pauses
Barrons.com122d agobearish
Treasury Yields Slip as Bond Selloff Pauses

The Treasury selloff takes a break, causing yields to fall slightly as markets worry about the inflationary consequences of the U.S.-Iran standoff. Oil futures slip, but remain high enough to keep policymakers on their toes.

How Bad Would the Bond Selloff Have to Get for Trump to Change Course?
The Wall Street Journal122d agobearish
How Bad Would the Bond Selloff Have to Get for Trump to Change Course?

The selloff in U.S. government bonds has paused for now, but it’s gotten Wall Street to ask: How much more turmoil would it take to push President Trump to soften his stance on Iran? The textbook example took place in April last year, when a messy sell-off in the bond market led Trump to pause sweeping tariffs on dozens of countries. “Judging by the post-'Liberation Day’ episode last spring, market conditions might need to get considerably worse to generate a similar full-scale retreat,” Capital Economics wrote in a research note Tuesday.

Treasury Yields Climb Further
The Wall Street Journal123d agobearish
Treasury Yields Climb Further

Yields on U.S. Treasurys are continuing their ascent today, after climbing to multiyear highs over the past days. Yields on 10-year Treasurys are now trading well above 4.6%, while 30-year notes are not far off from 5.

Treasury Sell-off Isn’t All That Alarming–Yet
Barrons.com143d agobearish
Treasury Sell-off Isn’t All That Alarming–Yet

Bond yields nearly rose to levels seen in March during the height of fears over the Iran War–but it shouldn’t frighten investors. Much of the gains in yields came ahead of that hour as the Treasury market sold off alongside rising oil prices. Multiple Fed presidents didn’t support the inclusion of an easing bias, or potential lower rates in the future, in the FOMC statement, telling traders the Fed is likely closer to hikes than cuts.

Treasuries Extend Selloff After Fed Decision
Barrons.com143d agobearish
Treasuries Extend Selloff After Fed Decision

The U.S. debt market selloff picked up after the Fed left rates steady again. The Fed left rates steady but there was a higher level of dissent among participants. Fed governor Stephen Miran has typically dissented, but this time there were also multiple Fed presidents who didn’t support statement language including “an easing bias.”