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Goldman Sachs now sees a smaller chance of a recession in the U.S. thanks to the peace agreement with Iran. The bank cut its 12-month recession odds to 15% from 25%, citing falling energy prices. It now sees an even lower chance of recession than it did before the war, when it put the odds at 20%.

(Bloomberg) -- The prospect of peace in the Middle East is setting up European stocks for a standout second half, as investors bet on stronger economic growth and easing inflation.Most Read from BloombergRead the 14-Point Draft Memorandum Between the US and IranUS-Iran Nuclear Talks Stall Over Lebanon Before They BeginUS Tells ASML It’s Concerned China May Have Top Chip ToolIran Floats ‘Insurance Fees’ and Asserts Control Over HormuzDOJ Rejects Judge Request to Certify $1.8 Billion Fund NixedAft

Fed rate-cut delays and weaker ETF inflow expectations prompted Goldman to lower its December gold forecast.

Stocks have quickly moved on from Kevin Warsh’s hawkish first meeting as Federal Reserve Chairman. But other parts of the markets haven't.

(Bloomberg) -- Goldman Sachs Group Inc. cut its year-end gold forecast by $500 an ounce as the Federal Reserve is no longer seen reducing rates in 2026.Most Read from BloombergRead the 14-Point Draft Memorandum Between the US and IranModi Warns of ‘Shortage of Trust’ Ahead of Trump MeetingTrump Blows Through His Iran Red Lines in Justifying Peace DealNYC Greek Eatery Kiki’s Seized for Failure to Pay $1 Million TaxUS Ends Hormuz Blockade, Downplays Tolls as Negotiations RestartThe revised target

The Federal Reserve's pivot to soften Basel III capital requirements marks a fundamental shift, loosening the regulatory noose that has constrained U.S. banks since 2008.

(Bloomberg) -- Gold slipped as the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance outweighed an interim peace deal between the US and Iran that eased inflation risks. Most Read from BloombergRead the 14-Point Draft Memorandum Between the US and IranModi Warns of ‘Shortage of Trust’ Ahead of Trump MeetingTrump Blows Through His Iran Red Lines in Justifying Peace DealIran’s Deputy Foreign Minister Confirms Deal Reached With USNYC Greek Eatery Kiki’s Seized for Failure to Pay $1 Million TaxBullion fell as much a

(Bloomberg) -- Traders piled into betting on interest-rate hikes as soon as next month after Kevin Warsh used his debut press conference as Federal Reserve chairman to make clear the central bank won’t tolerate high inflation.Most Read from BloombergRead the 14-Point Draft Memorandum Between the US and IranModi Warns of ‘Shortage of Trust’ Ahead of Trump MeetingTrump Blows Through His Iran Red Lines in Justifying Peace DealIran’s Deputy Foreign Minister Confirms Deal Reached With USApple Plans C

(Bloomberg) -- The Federal Reserve may need to raise interest rates as soon as September if inflation remains elevated, according to Rob Kaplan, vice chairman at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and former Dallas Fed president. Most Read from BloombergRead the 14-Point Draft Memorandum Between the US and IranModi Warns of ‘Shortage of Trust’ Ahead of Trump MeetingIran’s Deputy Foreign Minister Confirms Deal Reached With USTrump Blows Through His Iran Red Lines in Justifying Peace DealNetanyahu Pays a Po

Shares of large U.S. banks outperformed the market on Wednesday, with some hitting records, as investors awaited the first Federal Open Market Committee meeting of Kevin Warsh’s Fed chairmanship. Investment banks Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley also rallied and hit records, according to FactSet and Dow Jones Market Data. Traders widely expect the Fed will keep the benchmark federal-funds rate target unchanged at a range of 3.50% to 3.75%.

(Bloomberg) -- European Central Bank officials are signaling that a US-Iran peace accord won’t necessarily stop them lifting interest rates further, even if it prevents a more pronounced overshoot in inflation.Most Read from BloombergRead the 14-Point Draft Memorandum Between the US and IranIran’s Deputy Foreign Minister Confirms Deal Reached With USNetanyahu Pays a Political Price for Trump’s Iran DealUS Set to Offer Iran Broad Financial Gains in Peace DealStudios in Microsoft’s Xbox Division B

Few consumer staples have been treated as roughly by the higher-for-longer rate regime as Clorox (NYSE:CLX). The stock sits down 18.6% over the past year, pushing the yield to a level rarely seen for a household-name aristocrat. With Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) projecting the Fed to cut another 50 basis points to 3-3.25% in 2026, income ... Clorox’s 5.5% Yield Is a Safe-Haven Sending Retirees Sprinting Back to This 51-Year Dividend Aristocrat

The unemployment rate says the job market is holding steady. Goldman Sachs analysts, though, say that might not tell the whole story. In a fresh note shared with me, the firm argues that the labor market is softer than the headline 4.3% unemployment rate suggests. They argue that the job market is ...

(Bloomberg) -- SoftBank Group Corp.’s talks with potential creditors to raise at least $6 billion from a margin loan backed by its OpenAI stake have stalled, people familiar with the matter said, just weeks after the Japanese conglomerate cut its initial target from $10 billion.Most Read from BloombergHouse Republican Says Hegseth’s D-Day Remarks ‘Inappropriate’US Launches Strikes Against Iran After Helicopter Shot DownUS Strikes Iran After Helicopter Downed, Testing Peace TalksStocks Pare Tech-

Markets spent most of 2026 waiting for the Federal Reserve to deliver rate cuts that Goldman Sachs had been forecasting for December 2026 and March 2027. On June 6, after the May jobs report landed well above every economist's estimate, Goldman crossed both dates off the calendar entirely. The ...

Stronger labor data shifts market expectations as Trump argues higher rates could be the wrong move.

The bank now expects the Fed's next two cuts to come in June and December 2027, after May jobs growth cleared forecasts by a wide margin

June 8 (Reuters) - Goldman Sachs expects the U.S.

(Bloomberg) -- Goldman Sachs Group Inc. economists no longer expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates this year due to a stronger-than-expected labor market.Most Read from BloombergTrump Says He, Not Congress, Is in Charge of Kennedy Center in ReversalWhy Oil’s Not at $200 After the Biggest Supply Shock in HistoryUK Deputy PM Says He Told Vance ‘You’re Wrong’ Over Nowak CaseUS Forces See Nearly 1,000 Hormuz Crossings Since CeasefireBecerra Advances for California Governor as Hilton Fight

(Bloomberg) -- President Donald Trump said the Federal Reserve would be wrong to raise interest rates as his nominee Kevin Warsh prepares to chair his first Fed policy meeting.Most Read from BloombergTrump Says He, Not Congress, Is in Charge of Kennedy Center in ReversalWhy Oil’s Not at $200 After the Biggest Supply Shock in HistoryUS Forces See Nearly 1,000 Hormuz Crossings Since CeasefireBecerra Advances for California Governor as Hilton Fights SteyerSpaceX Inks $30 Billion Computing Power Dea

Sentiment surveys confirm that consumers are very aware of rising prices, and they are complaining about them. People hate inflation.

(Bloomberg) -- Unswayed by strong US jobs data released Friday, economists at Citigroup Inc. are maintaining their increasingly lonely prediction that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates three times this year.Most Read from BloombergBecerra Advances for California Governor as Hilton Fights SteyerSpaceX, Other Mega IPOs Denied Fast Index Entry by S&PNasdaq 100 Sinks 5% in AI-Led Rout as Yields Climb: Markets WrapWhat to Expect From Apple’s AI, Siri and iOS 27 Launch at WWDCSaylor’s Bitcoi

June S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESM26) are down -0.31%, and June Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQM26) are down -0.88% this morning as investors continue to pull back from the AI trade, while cautiously awaiting the key U.S. jobs report.

Wall Street is booming, but Goldman Sachs isn’t convinced that lower interest rates are around the corner. In an interview with CNBC, Goldman Sachs COO John Waldron reiterated the bank's view that the Federal Reserve could start cutting interest rates by the close of 2026. Put simply, Americans may ...

(Bloomberg) -- At the height of the US bond-market selloff last month, Vishal Khanduja detected something unusual. Most Read from BloombergTrump Begins Rebuilding His Tariff Wall, Citing Forced LaborRepublican-Led House Votes to Stop Iran War, Rebuking TrumpGlazer Family Members Study Manchester United Stake SaleTrump to Get Audit Immunity as $1.8 Billion Fund in DoubtRussia Finance Officials Tell Putin War Spending Is UnaffordableAs yields on the longest-dated Treasuries surged toward a 19-year

(Bloomberg) -- The heads of Bank of America Corp. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said this week they’ve pressed New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani to get more apartments built in the city, a move they said would help with affordability.Most Read from BloombergTrump Begins Rebuilding His Tariff Wall, Citing Forced LaborRussia Finance Officials Tell Putin War Spending Is UnaffordableTrump to Get Audit Immunity as $1.8 Billion Fund in DoubtTikTok Billionaire Overtakes Mukesh Ambani as Asia’s Second-Riches

(Bloomberg) -- SpaceX aims to sell 555.6 million shares ​at $135 apiece for its record-breaking $75 ​billion ⁠initial public ​offering, Reuters reported, citing an unidentified person familiar with the matter. Most Read from BloombergRussia Finance Officials Tell Putin War Spending Is UnaffordableTrump to Get Audit Immunity as $1.8 Billion Fund in DoubtCanada Dips Into Technical Recession for First Time Since 2020SpaceX Staffers Prep for Multimillion-Dollar Windfalls by Pushing for VIP TermsAndr

(Bloomberg) -- Oil rose a third day on pessimism over the prospects of the US and Iran reaching a peace deal and as fighting flared up in the Persian Gulf.Most Read from BloombergRussia Finance Officials Tell Putin War Spending Is UnaffordableCanada Dips Into Technical Recession for First Time Since 2020Trump to Get Audit Immunity as $1.8 Billion Fund in DoubtAndrew Left Found Guilty in Case That Spooked Short SellersAlphabet to Raise $80 Billion in Equity for AI SpendingWest Texas Intermediate

(Bloomberg) -- Alphabet Inc.’s surprise $80 billion sale of equity to fund spending on artificial intelligence infrastructure is expected to become the biggest equity capital markets transaction of all time, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.Most Read from BloombergRussia Finance Officials Tell Putin War Spending Is UnaffordableCanada Dips Into Technical Recession for First Time Since 2020Andrew Left Found Guilty in Case That Spooked Short SellersAlphabet to Raise $80 Billion in Equity for

(Bloomberg) -- Oil flipped between gains and losses as traders parsed discordant signals on the prospects of a US-Iran peace deal. Most Read from BloombergRussia Finance Officials Tell Putin War Spending Is UnaffordableCanada Dips Into Technical Recession for First Time Since 2020Alphabet to Raise $80 Billion in Equity for AI SpendingAndrew Left Found Guilty in Case That Spooked Short SellersUS Says Deals With Iran for Safe Hormuz Transit Are ProhibitedWest Texas Intermediate traded above $92 a