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Although the bull case has rarely sounded louder, with one-year gains running hot and the index pressing new highs, Wall Street has a long memory, and that memory is not kind to stretched valuations that meet an inflation regime. The benchmark S&P 500 sits at $745.64 on the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEARCA:SPY) proxy ... The S&P 500 Lost 40% in Real Terms from 1968 to 1982. History Says It Could Happen Again.

Most investors skip the simplest piece of self-accountability available to them. They form a thesis, place a trade, and then let time blur the original reasoning into something vaguer and more flattering. Clare Flynn Levy, the former hedge fund manager who founded behavioral analytics firm Essentia Analytics, has a fix for that, and she shared ... I Was Wrong About Inflation and Missed a Huge Stock Rally: The One Investing Discipline That Could Have Saved Me

Kevin Warsh was sworn in as Federal Reserve Chairman this week, and the most striking thing about his arrival is how little Wall Street seems to care. On CNBC’s Halftime Report Friday, one host captured the moment with a line worth holding onto: “The Fed is not the first or second or third sentence of ... Kevin Warsh Inherits a Fed That Wall Street Has Almost Stopped Talking About

On the May 19, 2026 episode of The Clark Howard Podcast, Clay from Kentucky asked advisor Wes Moss whether to leave roughly $60,000 in a vested state law enforcement pension earning a guaranteed 4% annually, or roll it into the Roth Thrift Savings Plan he now contributes to in his new federal job. “This seems ... I left law enforcement with a $60,000 state pension earning 4%. Should I roll it to a Roth TSP instead?

Kevin Hassett, director of the White House National Economic Council, used a CNBC Squawk Box appearance on May 22, 2026 to give Kevin Warsh an unusually full-throated endorsement before Warsh has even taken the Fed Chair seat. Warsh wants to drag the Fed back to monetary policy and away from everything else, and the White ... Hassett Backs Incoming Fed Chair Warsh’s Focus on Monetary Policy, Downplays Inflation Risks From Oil Shock

The instinct to do something when markets convulse is almost universal, and almost always expensive. That tension was on full display in April 2026, when tariff announcements rattled global markets and brokerage inboxes lit up with panicked questions. Joe Saladino, speaking on Paula Pant’s Afford Anything podcast, offered a counterintuitive prescription: pick a date on ... Joe Saladino: “Touch Your Portfolio Just Once a Year. That’s It.”

Utility stocks have been in the market limelight recently, and a big reason comes down to rising electricity demand from the artificial intelligence (AI) build-out. Data centers consume an enormous amount of power, and as hyperscalers race to expand infrastructure, investors have started piling into utility companies expected to benefit from rising electricity demand, transmission ... Boring Beats Brilliant: How a Utilities ETF Has Quietly Trounced the S&P 500 in Every Recession This Century

Andrew Sather of The Investing for Beginners Podcast recently made a point that should reshape how investors think about recession headlines. "When people say there’s a recession, they’re saying it 6 months after it happens. Like, that’s the literal definition of it. You have to wait 6 months," he said on the episode Back to ... Worried About a Recession? Here’s Why Selling When Economists Call It is Already Too Late

For much of the past two years, Wall Street treated long-run inflation expectations as the boring part of the macro story. Short-run prints whipped around. The five-year horizon stayed anchored. That assumption broke this month. The Cleveland Fed just published its highest five-year inflation expectation in 19 years, a reading that sits above the levels ... Fed’s Long-Term Inflation Forecast Hits 19-Year High

Andrew Sather of The Investing for Beginners Podcast recently made a point that should reshape how investors think about recession headlines. “When people say there’s a recession, they’re saying it 6 months after it happens. Like, that’s the literal definition of it. You have to wait 6 months,” he said on the episode Back to ... Worried About a Recession? Here’s Why Selling When Economists Call It is Already Too Late

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEARCA:SPY) keeps rising more and more, no matter how “bad” the news gets. Since Election Day 2024, the index is up 30%, a run that has absorbed a shooting war with Iran, a tariff regime that rewrites itself by tweet, and an inflation print that refuses to behave. The ... The “Don’t Fight Trump” Trade Is Working: S&P 500 Ignores Everything and Keeps Surging

For much of the post-2008 era, Wall Street treated zero interest rates as a permanent feature of the landscape, a kind of monetary gravity that pulled every asset price higher. Stocks ran. Bonds ran. Private credit ran. The benchmark S&P 500 vaulted off its 2009 low while the technology-packed Nasdaq Composite did even better. But ... Former Fed Official: The Fed’s Biggest Mistake Wasn’t Rate Cuts. It Was Keeping Them Low Too Long.

Geopolitical tensions from the Iran war are raising alarms on Wall Street, with top economists warning that inflationary pressures could force the Federal Reserve into aggressive rate hikes. Inflation Fears And ‘Economic Damage’ The economic toll of the Iran war is extending far beyond rising commodity prices. According to Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, surging interest rates—highlighted by the 10-year Treasury yield jumping to 4.6%—reflect a rapidly shifting landscape. Zandi

The broad market exchange-traded fund SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) was down 0.1%, and the actively t

A 58-year-old engineer in Palo Alto, married filing jointly, earns $750,000 a year, has already stuffed $4 million into 401(k)s and IRAs, and parks another $1.2 million in a brokerage account that holds a single S&P 500 fund. The 401(k) is maxed. The mega backdoor Roth is maxed. The next tax dollar saved has to ... The $40,000 Tax Move That Comes After Your 401(k) Hits Its Limit

Ben Carlson, portfolio manager at Ritholtz Wealth Management and the voice behind A Wealth of Common Sense, dropped a line on Morningstar’s The Long View podcast that I keep coming back to. Co-host Jeff Ptak summarized Carlson’s thinking as “it’s not the latte, it’s the Lexus,” and Carlson agreed, adding “and it’s the house too.” ... Ben Carlson Says Skip the Luxury Car and House Hunt Smart. That’s Real Inflation Protection.

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) on Friday closed down -1.24%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed down -1.07%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed down -1.54%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM26 ) fell -1.26%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...

One result of the massive monetary expansion was an upsurge in inflation, to a peak of over 9% in 2022—which the Fed infamously termed “transitory.”

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is down -0.91%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down -0.83%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is down -1.30%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM26 ) are down -1.02%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is down -1.17%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down -0.96%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is down -1.64%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM26 ) are down -1.07%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...

The Roundhill Memory ETF (CBOE:DRAM) launched on April 2, 2026 as the first U.S.-listed fund built entirely around memory chip makers, and it has already returned 85% since inception. For a retiree screening DRAM as an inflation hedge or AI-themed growth sleeve, that headline number is the wrong place to start. DRAM is a concentrated, ... DRAM ETF’s 85% Surge Masks a Dangerous Bet: Why This Memory Play Doesn’t Belong in Retirement Portfolios

The Senate narrowly confirmed Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chair in a deeply divided 54-45 vote. The contentious appointment immediately drew fierce criticism from prominent economists and Democrats who fear the move severely threatens the central bank’s historical independence. Progressive Backlash And Identity Crisis Leading the opposition, Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) blasted the incoming Chair’s motives and loyalties. “Trump wants to control interest rates, and he nominated

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is down -0.19%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down -0.47%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +0.05%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM26 ) are down -0.20%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...

Editor’s note: This article was updated to add details and context. U.S. producer prices jumped the most since 2022 last month as the Strait of Hormuz energy shock continued to feed through the inflation pipeline, adding fresh concerns over the Federal Reserve’s rate outlook. The rate of increase in the headline Producer Price Index climbed from an upwardly revised 4.3% year-over-year in March to a whopping 6% in April, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Wednesday. The outcome largely toppe

Good Morning Traders! Today's economic calendar for Wednesday is lighter overall, but markets will still be closely watching inflation related data and Treasury activity. The key release comes at 8:30AM ET with Producer Price Index data, including headline and core PPI figures, which will provide additional insight into inflation pressures following yesterday's CPI report. Markets may react sharply if producer inflation comes in materially above or below expectations. Additional events include c

Although Wall Street is sitting at fresh record highs, with the benchmark S&P 500 up 8% year to date and the technology-packed NASDAQ Composite riding a relentless AI capex wave, the bond market is telling a very different story this week. Per CME FedWatch as of late Monday, market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate ... Rate Cut Odds Just Collapsed to 5%. History Says This Is When Record Highs Get Tested.

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) on Tuesday closed down -0.16%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed up +0.11%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed down -0.87%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM26 ) fell -0.16%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...

Although Wall Street has spent the spring of 2026 in melt-up mode, with the S&P 500 up 26% over the past year and tacking on another 8.6% in just the last month, this morning’s inflation report rattled the easy narrative. The Bureau of Labor Statistics’ headline CPI index pushed to 332.4 as of April, a ... Inflation Just Hit a 3-Year High. The Last Time the CPI Spiked Like This, Stocks Did Something Most Investors Forgot

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is down -0.74%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down -0.55%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is down -1.45%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM26 ) are down -0.74%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is down -0.44%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down -0.74%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is down -0.72%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM26 ) are down -0.38%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...