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On Animal Spirits Podcast Episode 463, Michael Batnick zeroed in on something more revealing than the doom-laden statistics a hedge fund manager had just rolled out. The manager cited stock market cap to GDP at 252% versus 65% in 1929 and 170% in 2000, and warned that “the 10-year forward return is negative when you ... Hedge Fund Manager Admits, “My Personality Won’t Allow Me” to Invest Like Buffett
Stock Market Today: The Dow Jones index rose Friday ahead of the April jobs report. Coinbase and Cloudflare dived on earnings.
<p>A new era of child savings has arrived. Trump Accounts—formally known as Section 530A accounts—are tax-advantaged investment vehicles created under the One Big Beautiful Bill, mandating that contributions flow into low-cost S&P 500 ETFs or similar index funds. With billionaires, states, and the federal government all piling in, these accounts could become one of the most significant new sources of ETF demand in decades.</p>
Consumer discretionary names live or die on whether households feel comfortable opening their wallets, and right now those signals are flashing in opposite directions. Right now those signals are crossing in unusual directions: the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index sits at 53.3 in March 2026, deep in what economists treat as recessionary territory, yet ... Amazon and Tesla Drive One-Third of FDIS as U.S. Spending Surges Despite Recession-Level Sentiment