An expected decline in headline inflation for June doesn't tell the full story.
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Stock market investors are heading into CPI week with a familiar playbook. The hope is that inflation cools off further and the Fed stays on hold, with robust earnings taking over as the next driver of the S&P 500. For perspective, the S&P 500 recently traded near 7,575, up about 10.7% year ...

<body><p>STORY: U.S. stocks ended lower on Monday, with the Dow losing about a quarter of a percent, the S&P 500 falling roughly eight-tenths of a percent and the Nasdaq dropping more than one-and-a-half percent.</p><p>:: Archive</p><p>Oil prices jumped after President Donald Trump announced he would reinstate a blockade on Iranian ports in the latest escalation of U.S.-Iran hostilities.</p><p>Alexander Morris is CEO and chief investment officer of F/m Investments.</p><p>"Anyone watching the market today is really seeing what happens when there is confusion in the market, of information. We have a weekend where we think that Iran is sorting itself out, and then the blockade is back on. The ceasefire is teetering, but we're shooting at each other. Confusion is back. The dollar is down. The [yield] curve is up. It seems like the market is starting to price back in the fact that any of the good news bits that we had previously thought might be the start of the end are actually maybe just the end of the beginning."</p><p>Chip stocks, which have tended to lead the market through both rally and selloff, slid on Monday, with SanDisk, Marvell Technology and Intel dropping between about 6% and 12.5%.</p><p>And after a stellar Nasdaq debut on Friday, U.S.-listed shares of South Korean chipmaker SK Hynix sank more than 9%.</p><p>On the flip side, energy stocks led the gainers, as crude prices surged more than 9%. Shares of Chevron added more than 3% while Exxon Mobil climbed 4%.</p><p>Higher oil costs fueled worries that strained supply and upward price pressures could broaden into long-term, systemic inflation.</p><p>To that end, the Labor Department is expected to release its consumer and producer price indexes this week, which will give markets and the Federal Reserve a glimpse at the extent to which the on-again-off-again U.S.-Iran war affected price growth in June.</p></body>
US stocks are set for a weaker start to the week after last week finished on a positive note, with technology shares expected to come under the most pressure as investors balanced renewed geopolitical tensions against a busy week for inflation data and the start of bank earnings...
Markets were subdued ahead of a busy week for markets, with inflation reports, bank earnings, and geopolitical risk hanging in the balance.
Jerome Powell's successor vowed to get the Fed "out of the fiscal business" -- but that's not happened.
The Morning Bull - US Market Morning Update Monday, Jul, 13 2026 US stock futures are pointing higher this morning, with E-mini S&P 500 contracts up about 0.4%, as investors digest a mix of cooling inflation and uneven growth signals abroad. Softer price data in countries like France, where inflation sits at 1.8%, suggests global cost of living pressures are easing, which can take some pressure off central banks to keep lifting interest rates. At the same time, weaker industrial output in...
Big banks kick off earnings season this week, which will also bring reports from GE Aerospace, Netflix, and Taiwan Semi. In economic news, we’ll get the consumer and producer price indexes, and retail sales data.
No forward-looking guidance is necessary when Warsh and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) are providing decisive claims like this.
Payrolls badly missed the 115,000 economists expected, and the unemployment rate's dip to 4.2% masked a shrinking labor force. Now it's Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's problem.

<body><p>STORY: U.S. stocks closed higher on Friday, with the Dow gaining nearly three-tenths of a percent, the S&P 500 adding more than four-tenths of a percent to end just short of a record high, and the Nasdaq climbing nearly three-tenths of a percent.</p><p>The AI trade returned to the spotlight after South Korean memory chip maker SK Hynix ended almost 13% above its offer price at $168 in a blockbuster U.S. listing. The company raised over $26 billion on Thursday by selling American Depositary Receipts priced at $149 each.</p><p>U.S. stocks added to gains after President Donald Trump said that Iran had asked to continue talks and the U.S. had agreed, but that the June ceasefire was "over."</p><p>Ross Mayfield is investment strategist at Baird Private Wealth Management.</p><p>"Today I think markets are a little bit higher as it's evident once again that neither Iran nor the U.S. really want to re-engage in a hot war in the Middle East. This is going to be a volatile back and forth, who knows what will happen over the weekend. But I do think even a little bit of calm is helping markets, helping yields and oil pull back. And then this is kind of a calm before the storm. Not a lot going on today besides the SK Hynix debut. But next week - retail sales, CPI (Consumer Price Index), and the start of bank earnings. So a lot for investors to prep for, kind of a calm before the storm trading day."</p><p>Stocks on the move Friday included Meta Platforms, which jumped 6% to its highest level since April.</p><p>Shares of Moderna tumbled almost 11% in its worst day in over a year.</p><p>And shares of Delta Air Lines dropped more than 1.5%, even after the carrier forecast third-quarter profit above expectations.</p><p>Investors now look to quarterly earnings season, which kicks off next week.</p></body>
A weak stock market wouldn’t be the only painful outcome of a Mag Seven collapse. It could also risk tipping the economy into recession.
Your exchange-traded fund is flat. Remember that ETF you tucked away that invests in developed markets outside the U.S.—the one that looked cheap but has lagged behind the S&P 500 forever because it’s loaded with crusty old companies in Europe and Japan? By the way, both of these overseas funds, developed and emerging, beat the S&P 500 by a lot in 2025, too, but that was partly because the value of the dollar tanked last year as the Federal Reserve was cutting interest rates.
The Schwab Short-Term U.S. Treasury ETF targets government debt with lower costs and higher yields, while the Vanguard Short-Term Tax-Exempt Bond ETF offers federal tax-free municipal bond income.
The new head of the central bank inadvertently spilled the beans on what's likely coming regarding interest rates.
The Bank of New York Mellon said in a post on its website published Wednesday that the S&P 500’s performance is defined by resilience rather than continuous gains.
U.S. stock futures edged higher in the overnight session on Wednesday as markets assessed risks from the U.S.-Iran war and the Federal Reserve’s inflation concerns.
President Donald Trump highlighted the launch of Trump Accounts during a July 6 White House event, days after the federal savings program became available. Parents, legal guardians and other authorized individuals can now begin opening accounts for eligible children. Here’s...
Transcript: Caroline Woods:Inflation expectations are creeping higher again and investors are wondering whether traditional income strategies are enough anymore. How does that change the income playbook? Matt Kaufman is global head of ETFs at Calamos Investments and joins us now. Matt, so good to ...
Markets tumbled after President Trump said the ceasefire with Iran may be over. Speaking in Turkey at the NATO summit, the president said the U.S. was likely to continue strikes. The Nasdaq Composite, however, managed a 0.2% gain.
Stock Market Today: The Dow Jones index dropped Wednesday after Trump declared the ceasefire is "over." Micron and Sandisk dived.
July is shaping up as a pivotal month for index investors. The S&P 500 has cooled a bit, with Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA:VOO) down 1.36% since its year-to-date high on June 2 as the 10-year Treasury yield has eased to 4% and the VIX has settled at 17.65. With the Fed funds rate parked ... 4 Brilliant Vanguard ETFs to Buy in July
For generations, the stock market has quietly done something no savings account has ever been able to match — it has turned patience into wealth. Despite recessions, wars, inflation, and market crashes, the S&P 500 has delivered roughly a 10% average annual return over the long run. That simple fact has helped millions of Americans ... Trump Accounts Just Went Live. Here’s Why You Must Open One Today
The inflation devil is in the details.
U.S. forces carried out a "series of powerful strikes" against Iran late Tuesday after the Middle Eastern country struck three commercial ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz.
The major gauges wavered after strikes in Iran resumed to end a brief period of stability.
Spain's GDP outperform the Eurozone's in the first quarter, and the economy will probably beat the eurozone for the full year.
The Costco $1.50 hot dog is a cultural phenomenon, and thankfully one of the things Americans can rely on in the era of higher post-Covid inflation. Midera makes grinders, mixers, blenders, ovens, and automation products for the food industry, including equipment to make Costco hot dogs. Middleby typically trades hundreds of thousands of shares a day.
The stock market has broadened in a way many investors have been waiting years to see. While artificial intelligence has helped create more than a dozen trillion-dollar companies and kept mega-cap technology stocks in the spotlight, smaller companies have quietly staged an even stronger comeback. Over the past 12 months, the Russell 2000 has gained ... Will the Federal Reserve Crush the Small-Cap Stock Revival?
US stock index futures traded cautiously on Tuesday after the Dow Jones Industrial Average reached a record high in the previous session, while investors weighed another strong earnings update from Samsung Electronics (USOTC:SSNHZ) alongside fresh comments from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller. Futures pause after Wall Street recordsBy 03:02 ET (07:02 GMT), futures linked to the Dow Jones Industrial Average were little changed.