Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari said he believes it is time to “start slowly moving” interest rates higher to help bring down inflation to the Fed’s 2% target. During an interview on CNBC, the central bank official said he isn’t calling for a dramatic increase in rates, adding: “I don’t see evidence monetary policy is marginally restrictive right now, and I think we have more work to do to get inflation back down.
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Bond yields remain elevated as the investors digest the Fed's policy moves.
The Morning Bull - US Market Morning Update Monday, Aug, 3 2026 US stock futures are pointing higher this morning, with E-mini S&P 500 contracts up about 0.6% and Nasdaq-100 futures ahead by roughly the same amount. The move comes even as the US 10 year Treasury yield sits near a recent high around 4.73%, which keeps borrowing costs elevated for mortgages, credit cards and corporate debt. At the same time, US consumer sentiment has picked up to 55.2, while year ahead inflation expectations...
Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh left interest rates unchanged on Wednesday. Bond investors tightened the screws anyway.
The market got a fresh batch of economic data, with new personal consumption expenditures and gross domestic product data released ahead of the opening bell. Inflation data came in cooler than expected. Core PCE, which excludes food and energy costs and is closely watched by the Federal Reserve, rose 0.1% from the month prior, below consensus estimates of 0.2% and the 0.3% increase seen in May. Headline PCE was roughly in line with expectations.
Bond yields stayed elevated on Thursday as Wall Street digested the Fed's decision to leave rates unchanged and Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh's comments.
Bond yields stayed elevated on Thursday as Wall Street digested the Fed's decision to leave rates unchanged and Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh's comments.
Yields on 30-year U.S. Treasurys rose further to hit 5.24%, a 19-year high, before paring gains slightly, in a sign of investors' worries about rising inflation and the Fed’s willingness to combat it. The Fed's statement yesterday delivered “a hawkish hold,” wrote economists at Barclays. “But this was unwound by a dovish presser in which Kevin Warsh emphasized tightening in financial conditions that now seems inconsistent with his reluctance to react to data.”
The yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury bond spiked over 5%, touching levels not seen since the global financial crisis of 2007 after the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep rates steady.
The bond market got a bit of relief after the Fed left short-term rates steady again. Yields on two-year Treasuries fell by as much as four basis points after Wednesday's Fed decision to 4.252%, compared with the previous close. Yields had been higher most of the day leading up to the interest-rate announcement.
The Federal Reserve opted to keep short-term interest rates steady again on Wednesday. At the conclusion of a two-day policy meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee voted to keep its target for the federal-funds rate at 3.5% to 3.75% for the fifth straight meeting. Ahead of the announcement, the interest-rate futures market had the odds at 71% that officials would keep rates unchanged.
Renewed hostilities in the Middle East are pushing up Treasury yields as oil prices rally. The Iranian surprise attacks add uncertainty to U.S. monetary policy. Futures markets price in 64% odds of a hold by the Fed today, but bets on a hike rise to 36% from 31% yesterday, according to CME data.
The Morning Bull - US Market Morning Update Wednesday, Jul, 29 2026 US stock futures are mixed in early Tuesday trade, with broad S&P 500 contracts slightly in the red while Dow futures edge up. The key driver is the US 10 year Treasury yield hovering around 4.64% as investors brace for this week’s Federal Reserve decision. Markets see roughly a one in three chance of a rate hike now and about a 56% chance by September. At the same time, US durable goods orders for June rose 0.3% and a core...
The latest escalation in the Middle East conflict has been tough on fixed-income investors. Global government bonds have tumbled this week, sending yields sharply higher, as surging oil prices revived inflation fears.
Treasuries are getting hit hard thanks to data showing economic resilience and higher oil prices. Meanwhile, jobless claims unexpectedly plunged. Higher oil prices push up yields as investors demand more coupon for a potentially higher inflation print in the future.
Bond yields continued to climb on Thursday as oil prices rose amid an escalating conflict in the Middle East.
Bond yields continued to climb on Wednesday as oil prices rose amid an escalating conflict in the Middle East.
Treasury yields continue to tick higher alongside oil prices, putting the 10-year yield close to its 2026 high point. The yield on the 10-year note climbed to 4.648% in morning trading, according to Tradeweb, just shy of the 4.687% intraday high that it reached on May 19. The uptick in oil prices is making investors more worried about the inflation outlook, with traders now seeing a roughly 50% chance that the Federal Reserve raises interest rates twice before the end of the year.
Treasury's fell sending yields higher, concluding a day of light U.S. economic data ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting next week. Brent crude futures added 2% to settle above $90 a barrel.
The Morning Bull - US Market Morning Update Tuesday, Jul, 21 2026 US stock futures are pointing slightly higher this morning, as investors weigh softer US inflation against rising global interest rate worries. The US 10 year Treasury yield has eased to about 4.52% after cooler price data, which helps reduce pressure on borrowing costs for households and companies. At the same time, import prices rose 0.3% in June instead of falling, a reminder that the cost of goods coming into the country is...
The Morning Bull - US Market Morning Update Monday, Jul, 20 2026 US stock futures are pointing lower this morning, with E mini S&P 500 contracts down around 1%, as investors weigh falling bond yields against a cooling housing backdrop. The US 10 year Treasury yield has slipped to about 4.5% after softer inflation readings. In plain terms, this means borrowing costs in financial markets are easing a little even as the debate over the Federal Reserve's next move continues. At the same time,...
After more than a decade of being starved for yield by the Federal Reserve, the bond market is finally offering us a clean, honest 5% return on zero-risk U.S. government debt.
Treasury yields rise as the number of people filing for jobless insurance in the U.S. falls to 208,000 from an upwardly revised 216,000. Economists surveyed by WSJ expected an increase to 218,000. The July Philadelphia Fed business activity gauge jumps to 41.
Fresh signs of cooling U.S. inflation revive demand for Treasuries, pushing yields down. June producer price index falls 0.3%. Ex-food and energy, PPI rises 0.2%. Both measures come below WSJ consensus forecast.
Bond yields dropped sharply and Nasdaq futures climbed after a cooler-than-expected inflation report this morning. Futures for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 index rose, while those tied to the Dow industrials edged lower.
European bond yields are forging higher, in line with moves in U.S. Treasurys, as renewed hostilities in the Mideast push oil prices higher and revive inflation worries. The yield on the 10-year U.K. gilt has risen above 5%, after ending last week below 4.
Treasury yields rise as renewed tensions in the Middle East raise uncertainties. U.S. and Iran exchange fire over the weekend and crude prices rise 4%, clouding the outlook for inflation and interest rates.
The Morning Bull - US Market Morning Update Friday, Jul, 10 2026 US stock futures are pointing slightly higher this morning, with S&P 500 contracts up about 0.2%, as investors weigh stubbornly high bond yields and softer signs from consumer borrowing. The US 10 year Treasury yield is holding near 4.6%, which keeps the cost of mortgages, car loans, and business borrowing elevated and keeps talk of at least one more Federal Reserve rate hike alive. At the same time, US consumer credit in May...
The Morning Bull - US Market Morning Update Thursday, Jul, 9 2026 US stock futures are pointing lower this morning, with E mini S&P 500 contracts down about 0.8%, as investors react to a mix of higher borrowing costs and fresh inflation worries. The US 10 year Treasury yield is sitting near 4.58%, a 4 week high, which means mortgages, car loans and business borrowing could stay expensive. At the same time, one year US inflation expectations are at 3.7%, and a drop in US oil inventories is...
Bond yields rose on Wednesday as oil prices surged amid renewed tensions in the Middle East.