Trader Talk host Kenny Polcari, Robinhood CIO Stephanie Guild, and Payne Capital Management President Ryan Payne break down the market's massive rotation out of big tech, the reality of AI infrastructure spending, and the bold case for an S&P 8,500 melt-up by year-end.
News
High-signal headlines only - macro events, earnings, M&A, regulatory. Listicles and analyst clickbait filtered out by default. Refreshed hourly.
The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates twice by year-end -- history suggests that tighter monetary policy could trigger a stock market correction.
Retail sentiment remains ‘bearish’ on SPY and QQQ. Further weakness in QQQ will put it on track for the longest losing streak since August 2025.
Stocks were on track to open a touch higher Wednesday as investors shrugged off a rally in oil prices ahead of the Federal Reserve’s July interest-rate decision. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures climbed 41 points, or 0.1%. This could be a crucial day for the market, with the Fed set to announce its policy decision and mega-cap tech companies Meta and Microsoft due to report earnings after the closing bell.
Hard economic data, not proactive guesswork, drive Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) policy decisions.
Investors braced for a Fed decision, a flood of earnings, and a potential reescalation in the war with Iran.
The Morning Bull - US Market Morning Update Wednesday, Jul, 29 2026 US stock futures are mixed in early Tuesday trade, with broad S&P 500 contracts slightly in the red while Dow futures edge up. The key driver is the US 10 year Treasury yield hovering around 4.64% as investors brace for this week’s Federal Reserve decision. Markets see roughly a one in three chance of a rate hike now and about a 56% chance by September. At the same time, US durable goods orders for June rose 0.3% and a core...
After back-to-back days of outperformance this week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has nudged ahead the other major U.S. benchmarks for the month and year as well. On a year-to-date basis, the Dow is up 9.7%, holding a small lead over of the S&P 500, which is up 8.5%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq composite, which is up 7%. The Nasdaq yesterday flirted with trading in correction territory, or 10% below a recent high.
Charles Schwab has been treading water for the past six months, holding steady at $103.82. The stock also fell short of the S&P 500’s 6.3% gain during that period.
If a bear market is coming, here's how to protect your investments.
Over the past six months, GitLab’s shares (currently trading at $33.17) have posted a disappointing 10.9% loss, well below the S&P 500’s 6.3% gain. This might have investors contemplating their next move.
Macy’s 24.6% return over the past six months has outpaced the S&P 500 by 18.3%, and its stock price has climbed to $24.94 per share. This was partly thanks to its solid quarterly results, and the run-up might have investors contemplating their next move.
Dillard's currently trades at $573.95 per share and has shown little upside over the past six months, posting a small loss of 4.9%. The stock also fell short of the S&P 500’s 6.3% gain during that period.
QuinStreet trades at $15.53 and has moved in lockstep with the market. Its shares have returned 11% over the last six months while the S&P 500 has gained 6.3%.
Paycom trades at $151.87 and has moved in lockstep with the market. Its shares have returned 8.7% over the last six months while the S&P 500 has gained 6.3%.
It's an ominous warning, and investors should be prepared.
Technology companies have expanded their influence in the S 500 over the years, displacing industrials.
Since January 2026, Hub Group has been in a holding pattern, posting a small return of 0.7% while floating around $47.87. The stock also fell short of the S&P 500’s 6.3% gain during that period.
Investors worried about their AI exposure can collar shares—a cost-effective way to protect against losses in Alphabet or other tech stocks.
The tech-driven Nasdaq is selling off amid shifting investor sentiment toward artificial intelligence (AI) spending.
Add the effect of stock buybacks to the dividend, and you're looking at a total yield approaching 11%.
Over the past six months, Equifax’s stock price fell to $177.62. Shareholders have lost 13.5% of their capital, which is disappointing considering the S&P 500 has climbed by 6.3%. This was partly due to its softer quarterly results and may have investors wondering how to approach the situation.
Over the past six months, Chubb has been a great trade, beating the S&P 500 by 11.6%. Its stock price has climbed to $357.81, representing a healthy 17.8% increase. This performance may have investors wondering how to approach the situation.
Healthcare companies are pushing the status quo by innovating in areas like drug development and digital health. Those leading the charge have not only realized strong financial performance but also propelled the broader industry’s returns as healthcare stocks have gained 14.3% over the past six months while the S&P 500 was up 6.3%.
Whether you see them or not, energy businesses play a crucial part in our daily activities, from powering our homes and businesses to powering our transportation and industries.They are also bound to benefit from a friendlier regulatory environment with the “American energy dominance” stance of the Trump administration, and this excitement has led to a six-month gain of 12.6% for the sector - higher than the S&P 500’s 6.3% return.
Over the past six months, Clean Energy Fuels’s stock price fell to $1.96. Shareholders have lost 12.2% of their capital, which is disappointing considering the S&P 500 has climbed by 6.3%. This may have investors wondering how to approach the situation.
Energy businesses quietly power the physical things we depend on, from cars and homes to e-commerce infrastructure. But their prominence also brings high exposure to the ups and downs of economic and energy cycles. Luckily, the tide is turning in their favor as the industry’s 12.6% return over the past six months has topped the S&P 500 by 6.4 percentage points.