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For much of the past two years, Wall Street treated long-run inflation expectations as the boring part of the macro story. Short-run prints whipped around. The five-year horizon stayed anchored. That assumption broke this month. The Cleveland Fed just published its highest five-year inflation expectation in 19 years, a reading that sits above the levels ... Fed’s Long-Term Inflation Forecast Hits 19-Year High
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEARCA:SPY) keeps rising more and more, no matter how “bad” the news gets. Since Election Day 2024, the index is up 30%, a run that has absorbed a shooting war with Iran, a tariff regime that rewrites itself by tweet, and an inflation print that refuses to behave. The ... The “Don’t Fight Trump” Trade Is Working: S&P 500 Ignores Everything and Keeps Surging
The entire financial complex is currently hanging by a thread. Or rather, a microchip.
Geopolitical tensions from the Iran war are raising alarms on Wall Street, with top economists warning that inflationary pressures could force the Federal Reserve into aggressive rate hikes. Inflation Fears And ‘Economic Damage’ The economic toll of the Iran war is extending far beyond rising commodity prices. According to Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, surging interest rates—highlighted by the 10-year Treasury yield jumping to 4.6%—reflect a rapidly shifting landscape. Zandi
<p>Nvidia reports fiscal Q1 2027 earnings Wednesday after the close, with analysts expecting $79 billion in revenue. The result will ripple across <strong>QQQ</strong>, <strong>SMH</strong>, <strong>SOXX</strong>, and every other ETF with significant Nvidia exposure — and some have far more on the line than others.</p>
A 58-year-old engineer in Palo Alto, married filing jointly, earns $750,000 a year, has already stuffed $4 million into 401(k)s and IRAs, and parks another $1.2 million in a brokerage account that holds a single S&P 500 fund. The 401(k) is maxed. The mega backdoor Roth is maxed. The next tax dollar saved has to ... The $40,000 Tax Move That Comes After Your 401(k) Hits Its Limit
Ben Carlson, portfolio manager at Ritholtz Wealth Management and the voice behind A Wealth of Common Sense, dropped a line on Morningstar’s The Long View podcast that I keep coming back to. Co-host Jeff Ptak summarized Carlson’s thinking as “it’s not the latte, it’s the Lexus,” and Carlson agreed, adding “and it’s the house too.” ... Ben Carlson Says Skip the Luxury Car and House Hunt Smart. That’s Real Inflation Protection.
One result of the massive monetary expansion was an upsurge in inflation, to a peak of over 9% in 2022—which the Fed infamously termed “transitory.”
The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is down -0.91%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down -0.83%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is down -1.30%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM26 ) are down -1.02%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...
Wall Street braces for what could be the largest stock market debut in history, but the most cited academic on US IPO performance is warning buyers to sit on their hands. SpaceX is reportedly targeting a valuation of roughly $1.75 trillion in its planned offering, and Reuters this morning lined the deal up against three ... The Professor Who Tracks Every US IPO Just Issued a Warning on SpaceX: “Most of the Time, Things Don’t Go According to Plan.”
The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) on Thursday closed up +0.77%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed up +0.75%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed up +0.73%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM26 ) rose +0.78%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...
We appear to be looking at an excellent entry point for long-term investors.
The Senate narrowly confirmed Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chair in a deeply divided 54-45 vote. The contentious appointment immediately drew fierce criticism from prominent economists and Democrats who fear the move severely threatens the central bank’s historical independence. Progressive Backlash And Identity Crisis Leading the opposition, Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) blasted the incoming Chair’s motives and loyalties. “Trump wants to control interest rates, and he nominated
Good Morning Traders! Today's economic calendar for Wednesday is lighter overall, but markets will still be closely watching inflation related data and Treasury activity. The key release comes at 8:30AM ET with Producer Price Index data, including headline and core PPI figures, which will provide additional insight into inflation pressures following yesterday's CPI report. Markets may react sharply if producer inflation comes in materially above or below expectations. Additional events include c
The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) on Tuesday closed down -0.16%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed up +0.11%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed down -0.87%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM26 ) fell -0.16%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...
Although Wall Street has spent the spring of 2026 in melt-up mode, with the S&P 500 up 26% over the past year and tacking on another 8.6% in just the last month, this morning’s inflation report rattled the easy narrative. The Bureau of Labor Statistics’ headline CPI index pushed to 332.4 as of April, a ... Inflation Just Hit a 3-Year High. The Last Time the CPI Spiked Like This, Stocks Did Something Most Investors Forgot
The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is down -0.44%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down -0.74%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is down -0.72%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM26 ) are down -0.38%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...
Shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG) currently trade around $32.50, while the average Wall Street price target sits at $43.66. That means analysts see an average of roughly 34% upside for the burrito chain today. Chipotle operates more than 4,042 company-owned restaurants and is one of the most closely watched names in fast casual restaurants. ... Analysts See Big Upside for Chipotle Stock For This Reason
The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) on Monday closed up +0.19%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed up +0.19%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed up +0.29%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM26 ) rose +0.18%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...
The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up +0.25%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up +0.05%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +0.17%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM26 ) are up +0.29%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...
On Animal Spirits Podcast Episode 463, Michael Batnick zeroed in on something more revealing than the doom-laden statistics a hedge fund manager had just rolled out. The manager cited stock market cap to GDP at 252% versus 65% in 1929 and 170% in 2000, and warned that “the 10-year forward return is negative when you ... Hedge Fund Manager Admits, “My Personality Won’t Allow Me” to Invest Like Buffett
Stock Market Today: The Dow Jones index rose Friday ahead of the April jobs report. Coinbase and Cloudflare dived on earnings.
<p>A new era of child savings has arrived. Trump Accounts—formally known as Section 530A accounts—are tax-advantaged investment vehicles created under the One Big Beautiful Bill, mandating that contributions flow into low-cost S&P 500 ETFs or similar index funds. With billionaires, states, and the federal government all piling in, these accounts could become one of the most significant new sources of ETF demand in decades.</p>
April was a pleasant surprise for most S&P 500 investors. But some stocks did even better than the index.
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