Most investors skip the simplest piece of self-accountability available to them. They form a thesis, place a trade, and then let time blur the original reasoning into something vaguer and more flattering. Clare Flynn Levy, the former hedge fund manager who founded behavioral analytics firm Essentia Analytics, has a fix for that, and she shared ... I Was Wrong About Inflation and Missed a Huge Stock Rally: The One Investing Discipline That Could Have Saved Me
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High-signal headlines only - macro events, earnings, M&A, regulatory. Listicles and analyst clickbait filtered out by default. Refreshed hourly.
Kevin Warsh was sworn in as Federal Reserve Chairman this week, and the most striking thing about his arrival is how little Wall Street seems to care. On CNBC’s Halftime Report Friday, one host captured the moment with a line worth holding onto: “The Fed is not the first or second or third sentence of ... Kevin Warsh Inherits a Fed That Wall Street Has Almost Stopped Talking About
On the May 19, 2026 episode of The Clark Howard Podcast, Clay from Kentucky asked advisor Wes Moss whether to leave roughly $60,000 in a vested state law enforcement pension earning a guaranteed 4% annually, or roll it into the Roth Thrift Savings Plan he now contributes to in his new federal job. “This seems ... I left law enforcement with a $60,000 state pension earning 4%. Should I roll it to a Roth TSP instead?
Kevin Hassett, director of the White House National Economic Council, used a CNBC Squawk Box appearance on May 22, 2026 to give Kevin Warsh an unusually full-throated endorsement before Warsh has even taken the Fed Chair seat. Warsh wants to drag the Fed back to monetary policy and away from everything else, and the White ... Hassett Backs Incoming Fed Chair Warsh’s Focus on Monetary Policy, Downplays Inflation Risks From Oil Shock
Also in Weekend Reads: reactions to the SpaceX IPO filing, how to make a Roth IRA conversion mistake and accurate advice from the Moneyist
The instinct to do something when markets convulse is almost universal, and almost always expensive. That tension was on full display in April 2026, when tariff announcements rattled global markets and brokerage inboxes lit up with panicked questions. Joe Saladino, speaking on Paula Pant’s Afford Anything podcast, offered a counterintuitive prescription: pick a date on ... Joe Saladino: “Touch Your Portfolio Just Once a Year. That’s It.”
Utility stocks have been in the market limelight recently, and a big reason comes down to rising electricity demand from the artificial intelligence (AI) build-out. Data centers consume an enormous amount of power, and as hyperscalers race to expand infrastructure, investors have started piling into utility companies expected to benefit from rising electricity demand, transmission ... Boring Beats Brilliant: How a Utilities ETF Has Quietly Trounced the S&P 500 in Every Recession This Century
Andrew Sather of The Investing for Beginners Podcast recently made a point that should reshape how investors think about recession headlines. "When people say there’s a recession, they’re saying it 6 months after it happens. Like, that’s the literal definition of it. You have to wait 6 months," he said on the episode Back to ... Worried About a Recession? Here’s Why Selling When Economists Call It is Already Too Late
For much of the past two years, Wall Street treated long-run inflation expectations as the boring part of the macro story. Short-run prints whipped around. The five-year horizon stayed anchored. That assumption broke this month. The Cleveland Fed just published its highest five-year inflation expectation in 19 years, a reading that sits above the levels ... Fed’s Long-Term Inflation Forecast Hits 19-Year High
Andrew Sather of The Investing for Beginners Podcast recently made a point that should reshape how investors think about recession headlines. “When people say there’s a recession, they’re saying it 6 months after it happens. Like, that’s the literal definition of it. You have to wait 6 months,” he said on the episode Back to ... Worried About a Recession? Here’s Why Selling When Economists Call It is Already Too Late
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEARCA:SPY) keeps rising more and more, no matter how “bad” the news gets. Since Election Day 2024, the index is up 30%, a run that has absorbed a shooting war with Iran, a tariff regime that rewrites itself by tweet, and an inflation print that refuses to behave. The ... The “Don’t Fight Trump” Trade Is Working: S&P 500 Ignores Everything and Keeps Surging
Data from Stocktwits shows that retail sentiment remained ‘extremely bullish’ on SPY and QQQ.
The entire financial complex is currently hanging by a thread. Or rather, a microchip.
For much of the post-2008 era, Wall Street treated zero interest rates as a permanent feature of the landscape, a kind of monetary gravity that pulled every asset price higher. Stocks ran. Bonds ran. Private credit ran. The benchmark S&P 500 vaulted off its 2009 low while the technology-packed Nasdaq Composite did even better. But ... Former Fed Official: The Fed’s Biggest Mistake Wasn’t Rate Cuts. It Was Keeping Them Low Too Long.
Geopolitical tensions from the Iran war are raising alarms on Wall Street, with top economists warning that inflationary pressures could force the Federal Reserve into aggressive rate hikes. Inflation Fears And ‘Economic Damage’ The economic toll of the Iran war is extending far beyond rising commodity prices. According to Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, surging interest rates—highlighted by the 10-year Treasury yield jumping to 4.6%—reflect a rapidly shifting landscape. Zandi
<p>Nvidia reports fiscal Q1 2027 earnings Wednesday after the close, with analysts expecting $79 billion in revenue. The result will ripple across <strong>QQQ</strong>, <strong>SMH</strong>, <strong>SOXX</strong>, and every other ETF with significant Nvidia exposure — and some have far more on the line than others.</p>
A 58-year-old engineer in Palo Alto, married filing jointly, earns $750,000 a year, has already stuffed $4 million into 401(k)s and IRAs, and parks another $1.2 million in a brokerage account that holds a single S&P 500 fund. The 401(k) is maxed. The mega backdoor Roth is maxed. The next tax dollar saved has to ... The $40,000 Tax Move That Comes After Your 401(k) Hits Its Limit
Ben Carlson, portfolio manager at Ritholtz Wealth Management and the voice behind A Wealth of Common Sense, dropped a line on Morningstar’s The Long View podcast that I keep coming back to. Co-host Jeff Ptak summarized Carlson’s thinking as “it’s not the latte, it’s the Lexus,” and Carlson agreed, adding “and it’s the house too.” ... Ben Carlson Says Skip the Luxury Car and House Hunt Smart. That’s Real Inflation Protection.
The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) on Friday closed down -1.24%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed down -1.07%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed down -1.54%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM26 ) fell -1.26%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...
One result of the massive monetary expansion was an upsurge in inflation, to a peak of over 9% in 2022—which the Fed infamously termed “transitory.”
The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is down -0.91%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down -0.83%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is down -1.30%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM26 ) are down -1.02%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...
The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is down -1.17%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down -0.96%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is down -1.64%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM26 ) are down -1.07%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...
Wall Street braces for what could be the largest stock market debut in history, but the most cited academic on US IPO performance is warning buyers to sit on their hands. SpaceX is reportedly targeting a valuation of roughly $1.75 trillion in its planned offering, and Reuters this morning lined the deal up against three ... The Professor Who Tracks Every US IPO Just Issued a Warning on SpaceX: “Most of the Time, Things Don’t Go According to Plan.”
The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) on Thursday closed up +0.77%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed up +0.75%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed up +0.73%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM26 ) rose +0.78%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...
We appear to be looking at an excellent entry point for long-term investors.