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Bond yields are up and prices fall, as hotter inflation spurs talk of a Fed rate-hike. This TLT trade bets that yields will further climb.
Investing.com -- The Federal Reserve Board announced late Friday that it has appointed Jerome Powell as chair pro tempore, ensuring he will lead the U.S. central bank on an interim basis until his successor, Kevin Warsh, is formally sworn into office.
Rising oil prices are lifting inflation indicators and weighing on bond prices. Sentiment in the U.S. government bond market is bearish, which could explain why the odds favor the upside.
A stronger-than-expected April jobs report gave investors a second straight upside surprise, a welcome development after an uneven stretch for the labor market. Payrolls rose while the unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%, although average hourly earnings were a bit light, writes Bret Kenwell, US investment analyst at eToro US.
The Federal Reserve has already trimmed its policy rate by 0.75 percentage points over the past year, leaving the upper bound at 3.75%. The question facing rate-sensitive sectors is what happens if the cutting cycle continues. Three exchange-traded funds sit at the center of that question: the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT), the ... Rate Cuts Are Coming: Here’s How to Position TLT, XLRE, and ITB Now
One big surprise coming out of last week’s unusual press conference by Fed Chairman Jay Powell was his decision to remain on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) as a Governor after Kevin Warsh takes over this month. That sets up an interesting dynamic for the Fed going forward, writes Louis Navellier, founder and chairman of Navellier & Associates.
“There is not a ‘break-the-glass’ solution,” says former Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin of backup plans if the U.S. can’t finance its debt.