SpaceX has surrendered every post-IPO gain in five weeks, landing back at its offering price while one analyst quietly models a valuation that dwarfs the entire cloud computing industry. The question is whether that call is visionary or delusional.
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A friend of Paula Pant’s bought SpaceX (NASDAQ:SPCX) at $171, sold at $191, and walked away with roughly $400 to $500 in profit. Then he walked away convinced that stock-picking is easy. On a recent Afford Anything Q&A, financial commentator Joe Salci summed up the problem in four words. “He learned the wrong lesson,” Salci ... ‘He Learned the Wrong Lesson’: Why the SpaceX IPO Windfall Is a Trap for Everyday Investors
The 2020s might enter the history books as an era where the market skipped the stairs and kept taking the elevator either way. The recent surge since the beginning of Q2 is the best example. According to BullTheory, U.S. equities added nearly $10 trillion in market capitalization in just 39 trading days. Yet, the realized volatility has become highly asymmetric. On up days, it is running roughly seven times as much as on down days. Historically, that kind of imbalance tends to appear near exhaus