U.S. petroleum inventories are declining, although they are still above year-ago levels. Plus, market newsletter commentary on the Federal Reserve, consumer spending, and the growth of the venture-capital market.
News
High-signal headlines only - macro events, earnings, M&A, regulatory. Listicles and analyst clickbait filtered out by default. Refreshed hourly.
Investors won’t get too much of a respite from a big week trading the AI boom, with Palantir, Advanced Micro Devices, and CoreWeave reporting earnings. Before then, Warren Buffett successor Greg Abel will lead his first annual meeting as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway.
(Bloomberg) -- A Securities and Exchange Commission plan to let public companies cut quarterly disclosures to twice a year moved closer to reality after passing a White House review.Most Read from BloombergTrump Vows 25% Tariff on European Autos in Escalating Trade RiftTrump Rues State of Iran Talks, Says Prefers Not to StrikeWorld’s Largest Container Carrier Plans Route Avoiding HormuzTrump Family-Backed Drone Firm Signs Weapons Deal With USSpirit Bailout Talks Said to Have Ended With Closure L
There was a lot that could have made the stock market fall. Investors shrugged off questions about when—or even if—the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates again this year after the central bank held rates steady, and they ignored the fact that Jerome Powell plans to stay on the Fed’s Board of Governors even as Kevin Warsh prepares to become chair. Inflation came in hot as oil prices continued to rise, and earnings from Microsoft and Meta Platforms revealed sizable capital spending increases—and resulted in falling stocks. Eli Lilly earnings offered evidence that weight-loss drugs were only getting bigger; Coca-Cola’s beat showed that not all soft-drink makers are suffering from an Ozempic overhang; Alphabet’s capital spending paid off with big profits; and Caterpillar’s numbers demonstrated that there’s more to its business than mining and machinery.
(Bloomberg) -- Meta Platforms Inc. has acquired Assured Robot Intelligence, a startup developing artificial intelligence models for robots, as part of a major initiative to build humanoid technology. Most Read from BloombergTrump Vows 25% Tariff on European Autos in Escalating Trade RiftSpirit Bailout Talks Said to Have Ended With Closure LoomingTrump Family-Backed Drone Firm Signs Weapons Deal With USTrump Rues State of Iran Talks, Says Prefers Not to StrikeTwo NJ Malls Separated by Just Four M
(Bloomberg) -- OpenAI Chief Financial Officer Sarah Friar pushed back on concerns about missing internal targets, saying the company is meeting objectives and sees “a vertical wall of demand” for its products.Most Read from BloombergTrump Vows 25% Tariff on European Autos in Escalating Trade RiftSpirit Bailout Talks Said to Have Ended With Closure LoomingTrump Family-Backed Drone Firm Signs Weapons Deal With USTrump Rues State of Iran Talks, Says Prefers Not to StrikeUS Seeks to Deploy Hypersoni
Gold rose after dollar weakness helped counter inflation pressure from the Iran war and Strait of Hormuz disruption.
The hosts of The Best One Yet (TBOY) podcast have been arguing that the macro baton is changing hands. After interest rates dominated the economy for the past four years following the 2022 inflation spike, oil is now becoming the primary economic lever. The framing is straightforward. High interest rates “froze” housing markets, “closed” construction ... Oil Is Replacing Interest Rates as the Global Economy’s Dominant Force
ETF flows in March 2026 were highlighted by a massive flight to the short end of the yield curve. Investors sought refuge in short-term bonds to escape the downpour of geopolitical volatility mixed in with a thick fog of stubborn inflation. It’s a perfect environment to consider the Fidelity Limited Term Bond ETF (FLTB). One [...]
Consumer companies Hilton and Visa both reported strong quarterly earnings and raised their full-year guidance. Inflation remains a concern going forward.
War-driven oil shock is reigniting inflation fears and reviving stagflation risks. Here's how ETFs can help defend portfolios.
The CBOE Volatility Index (^VIX) is in a whipsaw trajectory, trading between 17.32 and 18.73 in today’s session alone, a range of 8.2% in this uncertain market climate. The move lands amid a dense macro week: blowout earnings from four mega-caps, a $725 billion AI capex revelation, Q1 GDP of 2.0%, and a Fed rate hold ... VIX in Whipsaw on Sticky Inflation, Fed Dissent and Lofty AI Capex
Gold rose early Thursday as the dollar dropped after a report showed a key U.S. inflation measure ro
Pre-Market Stock Futures: Futures are trading higher this morning after a messy Wednesday trading session that saw all major indices except the Nasdaq end lower, with the Nasdaq closing virtually unchanged at 24,603, up 0.04%. The combination of soaring oil prices, the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged for the third straight meeting, and bogged-down ... Here Are Thursday’s Top Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: AbbVie, Equinix, GE Healthcare, Kratos Defense, Meta Platforms, Oneok
Before we begin, Stan Finkelstein, the company's Vice President of Investor Relations, will remind you of some important information. Reconciliations of GAAP to non-GAAP measures and other financial information are available in the press release issued today by the company and on the Investor Relations section of our website. Today's discussion contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws.
US equities closed mixed Wednesday after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates steady at the end o
Major stock indexes pared losses Wednesday afternoon after the Federal Reserve kept its key interest rate unchanged and Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted resilience in the economy. Meanwhile, earnings reports from four members of the Magnificent Seven are due after the market close. Earlier Wednesday, a Senate panel moved to put the nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair to a vote before the full chamber.
Bond yields nearly rose to levels seen in March during the height of fears over the Iran War–but it shouldn’t frighten investors. Much of the gains in yields came ahead of that hour as the Treasury market sold off alongside rising oil prices. Multiple Fed presidents didn’t support the inclusion of an easing bias, or potential lower rates in the future, in the FOMC statement, telling traders the Fed is likely closer to hikes than cuts.
Inflation remains above the Fed's 2% target and Powell says there are too many factors set to hit inflation in the coming months to consider cutting interest rates right now. After three Fed presidents said they disagreed with language in the April FOMC statement that indicated an easing bias for the Fed, markets are moving to price in lower odds of an interest-rate cut in 2026. Markets are now pricing in just a 1.3% chance of a cut this year, down from an 18% chance just a day ago, per the CME FedWatch Tool. While Powell said there wasn't discussion of near-term interest rate hikes during the most recent meeting, markets are starting to price a slim chance of a rate increase.
The U.S. debt market selloff picked up after the Fed left rates steady again. The Fed left rates steady but there was a higher level of dissent among participants. Fed governor Stephen Miran has typically dissented, but this time there were also multiple Fed presidents who didn’t support statement language including “an easing bias.”
(Updates prices.) Gold traded lower for a third-straight day early Wednesday, pressured by inflat
Macro pressures and Fed outlook could delay Bitcoin recovery while Galaxy pivots toward AI data centers.
It’s no secret that the Trump administration has consistently pushed the Fed to cut interest rates. Fed Governor Miran, one of the Fed’s most vocal advocates for lower rates, said at a Washington forum this month that he has scaled back his outlook from four cuts this year to potentially three, acknowledging the inflation picture had grown more complicated even before the conflict with Iran began. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent went a step further at a separate conference, saying cuts should come eventually but that waiting for clarity on the Iran situation is reasonable.
Chair Powell said in late March that policy is “in a good place to wait and see,” a view Governor Michael Barr and others have shared. In early April, St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said he believes the current rate will likely remain appropriate for some time, though he left the door open to both cuts and hikes depending on how conditions evolve. Gov. Christopher Waller has warned that an energy shock on top of existing tariff pressure could produce a more lasting rise in inflation, drawing a comparison to the pandemic-era sequence of supply shocks.
The majority of investors don't see the Fed cutting interest rates again until October 2027, according to the CME FedWatch tool. The outlook for an extended rate pause comes as oil prices surge once more and inflation remains well above the Fed's 2% for the fifth consecutive year.
The CBOE Volatility Index (^VIX) is hovering near 18 on Wednesday morning, up roughly 1% as traders position ahead of the Federal Reserve’s afternoon policy decision and mega-cap technology earnings. The fear gauge closed at 17.83 on Tuesday, sitting inside the historically normal 15 to 20 band but well off the 31.05 peak hit on ... VIX Climbs as Fed Decision and Mega-Cap Earnings Keep Investors on Edge
The broad market exchange-traded fund SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) was up 0.02% and the actively tra
Treasury yields nudged higher but remained largely rangebound ahead of a rate decision and a Senate Banking Committee vote on the confirmation of Fed chair nominee Kevin Warsh. The Fed is largely expected to hold rates steady again this month, with the last of Chair Jerome Powell’s press conferences set for 2:30 p.m. Eastern time. Powell, whose term as chair ends next month, is likely to be replaced by Warsh, who will face a vote prior to the end of the Fed’s two-day meeting in Washington.
The most widely followed gauge of market fear and uncertainty was pretty much unchanged on Wednesday, suggesting Wall Street was feeling relatively calm ahead of looming Big Tech earnings and the Federal Reserve's policy decision.
Ondas Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:ONDS) is one of the 10 Best Edge Computing Stocks to Buy Right Now. On April 24, 2026, Ondas Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:ONDS) completed its $175M merger with Mistral, giving the company direct access as a prime contractor to U.S. Army and Special Operations contract vehicles, while adding U.S.-based manufacturing, integration, and federal […]