
Target just posted its strongest quarter in years, but strip out a one-time government windfall and the story gets far more complicated. Here is what the headline numbers are hiding about whether this retailer's turnaround is built to last.
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Target just posted its strongest quarter in years, but strip out a one-time government windfall and the story gets far more complicated. Here is what the headline numbers are hiding about whether this retailer's turnaround is built to last.

Aug 19 (Reuters) - Target raised its annual sales forecast for a second time this year as efforts to cut prices and freshen merchandise yielded results, while its quarterly profit received a nearly $1 billion boost from tariff refunds. It was the third straight strong quarter for Target, and the results suggest the turnaround plan of new CEO Michael Fiddelke is taking root ahead of the all-important holiday shopping season, even as high fuel prices pressure household budgets.

Target (NYSE:TGT) has increased its annual sales forecast for a second consecutive quarter, offering further signs that the retailer’s turnaround strategy under new CEO Michael Fiddelke may be beginning to deliver results. Excluding the impact of a tariff refund, Target now expects full-year earnings per share to be $0.

Comparable sales grew 3.8% in the second quarter, topping Wall Street estimates, though a tariff refund inflated the earnings figure

Target reported its second straight quarter of comparable sales gains on Wednesday, saying a merchandising overhaul under the retailer's new CEO is attracting more customers and boosting sales throughout its stores. Comparable sales — those coming from stores and digital channels operating for at least 12 months —rose 3.8% in the second quarter. Target is emerging from more than a year of weak or declining comparable sales.

Today Federal Reserve: FOMC minutes from Fed’s July meeting Earnings (a.m.): Target, Lowe's, TJX, Analog Devices, Estee Lauder Economic data: EIA weekly petroleum status report, CPI (UK), PPI (UK) Tomorrow Earnings: Walmart, Alibaba, Deere & Co.
Asking for a Trend Host Josh Lipton previews several of the biggest stories to come tomorrow, Wednesday, August 19, including earnings from major retailers TJX (TJX), Lowe's (LOW), and Target (TGT), alongside the minutes from the Federal Reserve's most recent FOMC meeting.

Today Earnings (a.m.): Home Depot, Baidu Earnings (p.m.) Toll Brothers Economic data: Housing starts for July, pending home sales, import and export price indexes, July industrial production and ...

US stock futures are treading water this morning, with traders caught between the Federal Reserve's next move and a fresh batch of retail earnings. Dow futures dipped 0.2%, the S&P 500 nudged up 0.1% after a third straight weekly gain, and the Nasdaq-100 added 0.5%. It's a quieter week...

The Nasdaq-100 and S 500 were advancing but Dow futures were in the red as investors look ahead to U.S. Federal Reserve minutes on Wednesday.

Monday Economic data: Empire state manufacturing survey (Federal Reserve Bank of New York), NAHB home builder confidence index, Treasury international capital data (U.S.), CPI (Canada). Earnings (p.
Dow futures were down 0.09%, while the S&P 500 futures climbed 0.09% and the Nasdaq-100 futures were up 0.25% at the time of writing.

Lowe’s, TJX, Alibaba, and Toll Brothers will also report earnings. On the economic front, we’ll see Fed minutes, housing-market data, and readings on manufacturing and services activity.

Markets face a retail-dominated week where Home Depot (HD), Target (TGT), TJX Companies (TJX), and Walmart (WMT) report earnings providing critical consumer spending assessment across income segments.

Major retailers’ quarterly results come after inflation softened in June and July.

The Federal Reserve now looks somewhat unlikely to raise interest rates at either of the next two meetings after a weak July retail sales report further assuaged concerns that the economy may be overheating. Last Friday's weak jobs report and the even weaker retail sales report "are bad news for workers and consumers, but potentially good news for the stock market, because it reduces the urgency at the Fed to raise rates to fight too-high inflation," wrote Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer at Northlight Asset Management.
Retailers face a more cautious back-to-school consumer who is getting fatigued by higher prices driven by inflation.
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Of the $166 billion in tariff refunds available, $71 billion has been claimed by companies, but very little of the refund money has gone directly to consumers.
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Retailers could receive an unexpected financial windfall.
Costco (NASDAQ:COST) and Target (NYSE:TGT) both delivered post-earnings stories that capture the split running through American retail. Costco posted 11.6% revenue growth on the back of a membership cash engine. Target turned in a 17.03% EPS beat, yet operating income fell. With sticky June inflation and dwindling personal savings squeezing households, the contrast matters. Membership ... Costco vs. Target: One Retailer Is A Much Stronger Buy In 2026
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