
The stock market aced two big tests this week. Things got weird when CNBC’s Steve Liesman asked Warsh where the federal-funds rate is relative to the so-called neutral rate—the policy rate that is neither accommodative nor restrictive.
High-signal headlines only - macro events, earnings, M&A, regulatory. Listicles and analyst clickbait filtered out by default. Refreshed hourly.

The stock market aced two big tests this week. Things got weird when CNBC’s Steve Liesman asked Warsh where the federal-funds rate is relative to the so-called neutral rate—the policy rate that is neither accommodative nor restrictive.

A blowout jobs report pushed September rate hike odds past 60%, which should have hammered high-multiple chip stocks. Instead, the semiconductor complex ran straight into the headwind and left the rest of tech behind.
The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up +0.30%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up +0.60%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +0.97%. September E-mini S&P futures (ESU26 ) are up +0.28%, and September E-mini Nasdaq futures...
A cooler-than-expected inflation print sent chip stocks surging Tuesday, but AMD sitting at a 185x P/E after a 150% year-to-date run raises a sharp question: is this a breakout toward $600 or the setup for a painful unwind?
The Nasdaq Composite tumbled again today after the latest inflation reading and higher oil prices failed to stop the bleeding. Chips were at the heart of the downturn, with the iShares Semiconductor ETF sinking another 3.7%, putting the chip stock benchmark 12% off its June 3 closing high. Industrials were the biggest laggard on Wednesday, dragged down by a swirl of other factors including rising oil prices, and expectations of a Fed interest rate hike.
We use Google Analytics to count anonymous page views and understand which content gets read. No ads, no profiles. Decline keeps you on cookieless mode. Details.