The bond market’s summer reset has 10-year note yields trading near the highest levels since early 2025.
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Kevin Warsh delivers "shock" while leaving Wall Street in awe.
A Fed divided against itself cannot stand.
Bond traders aren't counting on Warsh and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to sit on their proverbial hands for much longer.
Investors step into another busy week, with the July jobs report and SpaceX earnings in focus.
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) are contending with elevated inflation, thanks in part to the president's policies.
The president isn't helping ensure his prediction about the stock market comes true.

<body><p>STORY: Wall Street ended higher on Friday, with the Dow adding more than half a percent, the S&P 500 gaining seven-tenths of a percent and the Nasdaq climbing one percent.</p><p>:: Amazon</p><p>Amazon surged more than 15% after the tech giant posted its biggest quarterly revenue growth in over four years. Its results, along with a similar report from Microsoft this week, alleviated investor concerns about potential overspending on AI data centers.</p><p>Meanwhile, shares of Apple tumbled more than 7% after a disappointing forecast showed that the iPhone maker was struggling to secure enough components, as the AI-driven data center boom strains global supply chains.</p><p>Friday marked the end of a bumpy week for stocks that included a Fed policy meeting in which the central bank left rates unchanged - but with three dissenters pushing for a 25 basis point hike.</p><p>Dean Smith is chief strategist & portfolio manager at FolioBeyond.</p><p>"I think there was a decent case to be made that a hike is in order. Inflation, we had a slightly softer print on the most recent one, but inflation is now running well above Fed's 2% stated target. It's higher now than it was a year ago and it seems to be reaccelerating. [FLASH] So it was a close call probably, but I think, you know, if I had been on that voting committee, I would have voted for a rate hike as well."</p><p>:: Archive</p><p>Other stocks on the move Friday included Monolithic Power Systems, which rose more than 8% after forecasting third-quarter revenue above estimates.</p><p>But shares of GoDaddy slid nearly 17% after the domain registrar narrowed its annual revenue forecast.</p></body>
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) dissension just reached a new (and dubious) milestone.
Wall Street Gains Momentum as Inflation Cools and Bond Yields Retreat
Stocks kicked off Thursday’s trading session higher, reemerging from the carnage of Wednesday’s selloff. The S&P 500 was up 0.9%, while the Nasdaq Composite rose 1.6%. Rosenberg Research’s Dave Rosenberg described the moves as “a weak stock-market bound on shaky ground,” nodding to the major averages’ “precarious technical positions,” yesterday’s rise in bond yields, and oil price spikes.
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh praised the bond market’s recent rate moves on Wednesday. He may not feel that way now.
Pre-Market Stock Futures: Futures are trading higher this morning after a brutal day across Wall Street on Wednesday. The combination of the Iran war renewing, oil surging higher, and the continued semiconductor stock sell-off and rotation was just the catalyst needed to launch the selling. As expected, the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady. Still, ... Here Are Wednesday’s Top Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: Bloom Energy, Dave, Fiverr, Humana, Las Vegas Sands, Lemonade, Procter & Ga
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh praised the bond market’s recent rate moves on Wednesday. He may not feel that way now.
This inflation data point is the ultimate green or red light for Wall Street and investors.
The head of the Fed's choice of words when describing elevated inflation should rightly worry Wall Street and investors.
Then Kevin Warsh started talking. The new Federal Reserve chairman did little to ease investor concerns about the central bank’s fight with inflation, so the S&P 500 closed down 1.5%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average sank 2.2% The Nasdaq Composite fell 1.7%.
U.S. equity futures were little changed on Wednesday as investors digested Microsoft, Meta and Qualcomm earnings and the Federal Reserve’s decision.

<body><p>STORY: Wall Street ended sharply lower on Wednesday, with the Dow tumbling more than two percent, the S&P 500 shedding one-and-a-half percent and the Nasdaq falling one-and-three-quarters percent.</p><p>:: Archive</p><p>The Fed's widely expected decision to leave interest rates unchanged drew dissents from three of the 12 members of the central bank's policy-setting committee, who would have "preferred" a quarter-percentage-point hike at Wednesday's meeting.</p><p>Eric Diton is president and managing director of The Wealth Alliance.</p><p>"That's telling you the Fed here is not in agreement. Three dissenters is a lot. And it's clear that we are getting closer and closer to a rate hike. And the markets are handicapping that. So, I think going forward I would expect a rate hike probably in September, certainly by December. I think that’s where we are heading.”</p><p>Meanwhile, investors continued to worry about Big Tech companies funneling billions of dollars into AI at the expense of free cash flow.</p><p>Case in point: shares of Meta fell more than 9% in extended trading after the social media company hiked its forecast for 2026 capital expenditure.</p><p>But shares of another Magnificent 7 tech giant climbed in extending trading. Microsoft rose about 2% after topping Wall Street estimates for quarterly cloud revenue growth, a sign its massive spending on AI infrastructure was paying off.</p><p>:: Microsoft</p><p>:: Archive</p><p>AI-related chipmakers added to recent losses after a sixfold jump in SK Hynix's quarterly profit fell short of lofty investor expectations. </p></body>
(Updates with index/price moves and Federal Reserve/geopolitical news from the first paragraph.)