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A massive surge in Treasury bond yields, which lifted 10-year notes to the highest since 2007, paired with a worrying summer rally in global crude prices that has oil trading firmly north of $100 a barrel, leaned heavily on stocks but didn’t tip them over. A Federal Reserve interest-rate hike, coupled with hawkish language and quickening inflation forecasts, also came and went, with stocks posting their strongest gains in six weeks and an index of the Magnificent Seven tech giants coming within half a point of the all-time high it reached in late May. Tech stocks, in fact, have largely weathered a series of “end of days” headlines from the AI space, with an index of semiconductor stocks falling around 3.3% over the past month and those in the information technology edging just 1.2% lower despite the torrent of stories tied to apocalyptic AI risks.

Something Jamie Dimon just said is getting Wall Street’s attention.

📣 “We simply don’t know how to model the endgame.” —Natasha Kaneva, head of global commodities strategy at JPMorgan. Part of the problem: What once looked like economic red lines for the U.S. administration, such as gasoline prices and headline inflation numbers, have been crossed—yet the conflict continues.

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said Wednesday he still isn't convinced the problem of high inflation has been defeated.

A Federal Reserve rate hike is largely priced in for Wednesday, but JPMorgan says the S&P 500 could still swing anywhere from 1% higher to 2% lower depending on how Chair Kevin Warsh frames the move. A surprise decision to...

Investing.com -- A clean 25 basis point hike with no forward guidance is the equity market’s best-case outcome from the Federal Reserve’s policy decision today, according to JPMorgan’s scenario analysis — but a signal that rates must go "materially higher" could end the current bull market. JPMorgan laid out five distinct Fed decision paths and their projected impact on the S&P 500, ranging from a 2.0% decline to a 1.0% gain. The outcomes depend heavily on both the mechanical rate action and the

Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, HSBC, and Deutsche Bank all forecast a quarter-point increase at the Fed's Sept. 15-16 meeting after hotter-than-expected inflation data

Sept 13 (Reuters) - Goldman Sachs now expects the U.S.

JPMorgan analysts said higher government borrowing costs and inflation remain risks, but continued corporate earnings growth could support equity markets if inflation expectations remain anchored. Key Investor TakeawaysJPMorgan expects earnings momentum to remain an important support for equities despite rising bond yields and renewed inflation pressures.

JPMorgan Chase analysts expect eight of the world's nine developed-market central banks to lift interest rates before the end of the year in efforts to tame sticky inflation and commodity price pressures. In a research note published Thursday, the analysts said they expect rate hikes from the Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan and European Central Bank, as well as from central banks in Australia, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, Norway and Sweden. JPMorgan said its base case was for the Fed to hold rates next week and lift them in December.

The volume of companies’ duty payments to the federal government remains far above the pre-2025 norm, according to a recent JPMorganChase Institute analysis.

Investing.com -- In a note to clients on Tuesday, JPMorgan initiated coverage of FedEx Freight with an Overweight rating and a December 2027 price target of $160, arguing the recent spin-off gives North America's largest less-than-truckload carrier room to improve profitability and service as a stand-alone company.

Strong August jobs data raised rate-hike odds ahead of the Fed's September meeting. IWM, XLF, and TLT offer different ways for investors to position for the decision's outcome.

JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s trading desk has dialed back its optimistic outlook on U.S. equities to a neutral, cautious stance after hawkish comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh.

Kevin Warsh just told the market that the Fed has been blaming the wrong culprit for inflation for decades, and if he is right, the playbook for rate hikes, growth stocks, and the entire AI capital cycle changes with it.

A technical funding adjustment could remove $13 billion from the bank's expected capital relief.

JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Bank of America (BAC), Goldman Sachs (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS) are clashing

By Pete Schroeder WASHINGTON, Aug 27 (Reuters) - Wall Street's most powerful banks fought side by side for years to relax capital rules, but with victory in sight, that alliance has fractured.

Investors are looking for Kevin Warsh to clarify his views on how the US central bank should react to stubborn inflation when the Federal Reserve chair speaks on Friday at the annual gathering in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s, attributes President Donald Trump‘s immigration policies to a high unemployment rate among American workers. He also blamed the administration for other supply-side policy shocks. Zandi observed a drop in foreign-born unemployment to a level...

Bond traders are changing gears again. After a raft of data helped all but price out interest rate hikes for the rest of the year, wagers in the options market are looking to hedge the risk that the Federal Reserve pivots to cutting rates in 2027.

Longer-maturity bonds are at the epicenter of investor angst about everything from inflation to the debt-laden artificial-intelligence boom — and governments are paying the price.

“Rising fertilizer prices could lift global food inflation temporarily to 4-5%.”

Bitcoin ETFs lost $390 million last week, and a JPMorgan warning from April about oil and food inflation explains why.

As investors debate whether and when the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates, market expectations for further tightening are building around the world — and spelling trouble for bonds.

JPMorgan remains positive on equities for the second half of the year, arguing that concerns surrounding geopolitics, inflation, market concentration, the economic cycle and weakness in bonds are unlikely to prevent stocks from advancing further. The bank expects broader participation in the rally, with cyclical and higher-beta areas potentially taking a greater role as the year progresses.

Treasuries have been in a funk since June. If the selloff doesn’t stop, things could really go off the rails for stocks, the midterm elections, and the Fed.

The latest jobs report gave Wall Street another reason to bet big on America's largest bank. Shares of JPMorgan Chase & Co. are trading near all-time highs at the time of writing, helping lift the Dow Jones Industrial Average to record levels in August 2026. The Dow 30 bank stock touched ...

The Treasury Department is starting an auction series with a $58 billion sale of 3-year notes on Tuesday.

Investors who have been hopeful that interest rates will come down in the near future may be disappointed.