
Three catalysts, one reshuffling, and a Fed that refuses to move
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Three catalysts, one reshuffling, and a Fed that refuses to move

Michael Reinking, Senior Market Strategist at the NYSE, recaps a week dominated by Treasury Secretary Bessent, whose doubled liquidity support buybacks reignited the debasement trade, sending gold back above 4,500 and triggering a massive crypto short squeeze that propelled Bitcoin up ~15% and Ethereum up 25%. Escalating Iran tensions pushed ICE Brent into the low 90s after a 60-day ceasefire expired, while equity markets drifted lower with the S&P 500 down ~1.5% as retail earnings disappointed broadly and healthcare surged nearly 4% on landmark cancer trial results from Merck and Moderna. Looking ahead, next week's PCE print, Nvidia earnings, and Fed Chair Warsh's first Jackson Hole speech are the marquee events to watch.

With CPI dropping at 8:30 AM and the Strait of Hormuz near shutdown, Wall Street faces a pivotal morning that could swing stocks sharply in either direction, and analysts at Deutsche Bank, Oppenheimer, Berenberg, and others are already repositioning ahead of the numbers.
A new round of strong earnings reports powered the Dow Jones Industrial Average to a fresh high on Wednesday, underscoring how surging profits are underpinning the stock-market rally. Upbeat reports from Amgen Walt Disney and Merck helped send the blue-chip index 0.5%, or 263 points, higher to 54349. The Dow industrials have now climbed for five straight sessions, notching three straight records and a 5.3% gain in their best such run since the volatile days of the April 2025 tariff panic.
The monthly jobs report comes out Friday. Before that, Elon Musk’s SpaceX will post its first earnings report as a listed company. Also reporting: Walt Disney; tech companies Palantir and Advanced Micro Devices; ride-sharing firms Uber and Lyft; private-equity firms Apollo, Carlyle and TPG; and fast-food chains McDonald's and Wendy’s.
Bank of America has predicted that the Federal Reserve will be forced to raise interest rates by 75 basis points this year, with the first 25-basis-point hike in September. They also see additional 25-basis-point hikes in October and December. The energy shock from the war with Iran drove inflation higher, with the CPI rising in ... Bank of America Sees Interest Rates Exploding Higher Soon: Play It Safe With 4 Dividend Giants
U.S. stocks rose in early Thursday trading, rebounding from the previous session’s Fed-driven selloff as falling oil prices and optimism surrounding the Iran peace deal boosted investor sentiment.
Elizabeth Schwartz will head up government relations at the for-profit hospital trade association as health systems brace for federal funding cuts.
May 4 (Reuters) - Global drugmakers have been ramping up U.S. manufacturing and stockpiling inventory as the Trump administration moves to impose 100% tariffs on branded drugs unless companies cut
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