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The stock market aced two big tests this week. Things got weird when CNBC’s Steve Liesman asked Warsh where the federal-funds rate is relative to the so-called neutral rate—the policy rate that is neither accommodative nor restrictive.

A weekend debate over AI pacing collided with a Federal Reserve rate decision, and the chip sector is now sorting winners from losers in a way that reveals exactly which stocks investors trust least when the future gets expensive.

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) is down -0.32% today, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down -1.04%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is down -0.04%. E-mini S&P futures (ESU26 ) are down -0.33%, and September E-mini Nasdaq futures (NQU26...

A blowout jobs report pushed September rate hike odds past 60%, which should have hammered high-multiple chip stocks. Instead, the semiconductor complex ran straight into the headwind and left the rest of tech behind.

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) is down by -0.16% today, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down by -0.23%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up by +0.28%. E-mini S&P futures (ESU26 ) are down -0.138%, and September E-mini...

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) is up by +0.17% today, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up by +0.14%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is down by -0.18%. E-mini S&P futures (ESU26 ) are up +0.10%, and September E-mini...

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) is up +0.02%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down -0.08%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +0.15%. September E-mini S&P futures (ESU26 ) are up +0.01%, and September E-mini Nasdaq futures (NQU26...

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) is up +0.25%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up +0.07%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +0.85%. September E-mini S&P futures (ESU26 ) are up +0.38%, and September E-mini Nasdaq futures (NQU26...
The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up +0.30%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up +0.60%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +0.97%. September E-mini S&P futures (ESU26 ) are up +0.28%, and September E-mini Nasdaq futures...
A cooler-than-expected inflation print sent chip stocks surging Tuesday, but AMD sitting at a 185x P/E after a 150% year-to-date run raises a sharp question: is this a breakout toward $600 or the setup for a painful unwind?
Micron's earnings report gave the Nasdaq the jumpstart it desperately needed on Thursday. The Nasdaq was up 0.9%. Micron not only reported blowout results but also gave a forecast that had Wall Street ready to pile back into the chip sector after a brief road bump.

