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Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari said he believes it is time to “start slowly moving” interest rates higher to help bring down inflation to the Fed’s 2% target. During an interview on CNBC, the central bank official said he isn’t calling for a dramatic increase in rates, adding: “I don’t see evidence monetary policy is marginally restrictive right now, and I think we have more work to do to get inflation back down.

Treasury yields held earlier overnight declines after the Treasury Department signaled–again–that it has no plans to increase the sizes of note-and-bond auctions for “at least the next several quarters.” The Treasury’s guidance, made as part of its quarterly refunding announcement, was the same that it has made for the past 11 quarters dating back to the start of 2024.

Bond yields remain elevated as the investors digest the Fed's policy moves.

For the U.S., a weak yen is a potential problem because Japan is the world’s biggest single holder of U.S. Treasurys. With bond yields already high, the last thing Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent wants is more upward pressure from Japan selling down its U.

Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh left interest rates unchanged on Wednesday. Bond investors tightened the screws anyway.

The market got a fresh batch of economic data, with new personal consumption expenditures and gross domestic product data released ahead of the opening bell. Inflation data came in cooler than expected. Core PCE, which excludes food and energy costs and is closely watched by the Federal Reserve, rose 0.1% from the month prior, below consensus estimates of 0.2% and the 0.3% increase seen in May. Headline PCE was roughly in line with expectations.

Bond yields stayed elevated on Thursday as Wall Street digested the Fed's decision to leave rates unchanged and Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh's comments.

Bond yields stayed elevated on Thursday as Wall Street digested the Fed's decision to leave rates unchanged and Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh's comments.

Yields on 30-year U.S. Treasurys rose further to hit 5.24%, a 19-year high, before paring gains slightly, in a sign of investors' worries about rising inflation and the Fed’s willingness to combat it. The Fed's statement yesterday delivered “a hawkish hold,” wrote economists at Barclays. “But this was unwound by a dovish presser in which Kevin Warsh emphasized tightening in financial conditions that now seems inconsistent with his reluctance to react to data.”

The bond market got a bit of relief after the Fed left short-term rates steady again. Yields on two-year Treasuries fell by as much as four basis points after Wednesday's Fed decision to 4.252%, compared with the previous close. Yields had been higher most of the day leading up to the interest-rate announcement.

The Federal Reserve opted to keep short-term interest rates steady again on Wednesday. At the conclusion of a two-day policy meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee voted to keep its target for the federal-funds rate at 3.5% to 3.75% for the fifth straight meeting. Ahead of the announcement, the interest-rate futures market had the odds at 71% that officials would keep rates unchanged.

Renewed hostilities in the Middle East are pushing up Treasury yields as oil prices rally. The Iranian surprise attacks add uncertainty to U.S. monetary policy. Futures markets price in 64% odds of a hold by the Fed today, but bets on a hike rise to 36% from 31% yesterday, according to CME data.

The latest escalation in the Middle East conflict has been tough on fixed-income investors. Global government bonds have tumbled this week, sending yields sharply higher, as surging oil prices revived inflation fears.

Treasuries are getting hit hard thanks to data showing economic resilience and higher oil prices. Meanwhile, jobless claims unexpectedly plunged. Higher oil prices push up yields as investors demand more coupon for a potentially higher inflation print in the future.

Bond yields continued to climb on Wednesday as oil prices rose amid an escalating conflict in the Middle East.

Treasury yields continue to tick higher alongside oil prices, putting the 10-year yield close to its 2026 high point. The yield on the 10-year note climbed to 4.648% in morning trading, according to Tradeweb, just shy of the 4.687% intraday high that it reached on May 19. The uptick in oil prices is making investors more worried about the inflation outlook, with traders now seeing a roughly 50% chance that the Federal Reserve raises interest rates twice before the end of the year.

Treasury's fell sending yields higher, concluding a day of light U.S. economic data ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting next week. Brent crude futures added 2% to settle above $90 a barrel.

After more than a decade of being starved for yield by the Federal Reserve, the bond market is finally offering us a clean, honest 5% return on zero-risk U.S. government debt.

Rising oil prices and escalating attacks on Iran moved mortgage rates higher.

Treasury yields rise as the number of people filing for jobless insurance in the U.S. falls to 208,000 from an upwardly revised 216,000. Economists surveyed by WSJ expected an increase to 218,000. The July Philadelphia Fed business activity gauge jumps to 41.

Fresh signs of cooling U.S. inflation revive demand for Treasuries, pushing yields down. June producer price index falls 0.3%. Ex-food and energy, PPI rises 0.2%. Both measures come below WSJ consensus forecast.

European bond yields are forging higher, in line with moves in U.S. Treasurys, as renewed hostilities in the Mideast push oil prices higher and revive inflation worries. The yield on the 10-year U.K. gilt has risen above 5%, after ending last week below 4.

Treasury yields rise as renewed tensions in the Middle East raise uncertainties. U.S. and Iran exchange fire over the weekend and crude prices rise 4%, clouding the outlook for inflation and interest rates.

U.S.-Iran tensions pushed the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasurys to its highest intraday level since May this morning. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield reached as high as 4.583%, according to Tradeweb, its highest level since May 22.

"Warsh explicitly avoided policy guidance in the statement and press conference, so it seems unlikely that he would permit such guidance via the minutes," writes Englander, head of G-10 foreign-exchange research at the bank. Englander's prediction chimes with the way that Warsh, who spent more than a decade arguing that the Fed should say less, has approached his new post so far.

Stocks were up to start Thursday’s session after the unemployment rate fell unexpectedly in June. The Dow rose 370 points, or 0.7%. The U.S. economy added fewer jobs than economists expected in June, but unemployment dipped to 4.2%.

Treasury yields rise, on path for a quarterly increase. An agreement to fully restore shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remains elusive and oil prices edge higher. Fed funds futures price at least one Fed hike this year, according to CME.

Treasury yields and the dollar ease as oil prices fall 3% and markets recalibrate the outlook for U.S. interest rates. Odds of one rate increase this year remain high, priced at 42% on CME's FedWatch tool, while odds of a second hike decline to 28% from 34% a week ago, as inflation forecasts cool down.

The loudest feedback on Kevin Warsh's first press conference as Fed chairman came from the bond market. Just look at the Treasury yield curve. U.S. debt maturing in 10-years now yields only 0.7663 percentage points more than debt maturing in 2 years.

Bonds are in the driver's seat as Kevin Warsh chairs his first Fed meeting. Look at the yield or interest rate on the 2-year note, which is up strongly by 0.097 percentage points. Higher yields on a shorter-dated note suggest the bond market is readying to see a rate hike by the Fed sometime this year.