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Fed’s Kashkari: It’s Time to ‘Start Slowly Moving’ Rates Higher
The Wall Street Journal4h agoneutral
Fed’s Kashkari: It’s Time to ‘Start Slowly Moving’ Rates Higher

Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari said he believes it is time to “start slowly moving” interest rates higher to help bring down inflation to the Fed’s 2% target. During an interview on CNBC, the central bank official said he isn’t calling for a dramatic increase in rates, adding: “I don’t see evidence monetary policy is marginally restrictive right now, and I think we have more work to do to get inflation back down.

Bond Yields Hold Declines After Treasury Maintains Borrowing Guidance
The Wall Street Journal4h agoneutral
Bond Yields Hold Declines After Treasury Maintains Borrowing Guidance

Treasury yields held earlier overnight declines after the Treasury Department signaled–again–that it has no plans to increase the sizes of note-and-bond auctions for “at least the next several quarters.” The Treasury’s guidance, made as part of its quarterly refunding announcement, was the same that it has made for the past 11 quarters dating back to the start of 2024.

To Understand Why the U.S. Helped Prop Up the Yen, Look at This Chart
The Wall Street Journal1d agoneutral
To Understand Why the U.S. Helped Prop Up the Yen, Look at This Chart

For the U.S., a weak yen is a potential problem because Japan is the world’s biggest single holder of U.S. Treasurys. With bond yields already high, the last thing Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent wants is more upward pressure from Japan selling down its U.

Stock Futures Unfazed by Cooler Inflation and Slow Economic Growth
Barrons.com6d agoneutral
Stock Futures Unfazed by Cooler Inflation and Slow Economic Growth

The market got a fresh batch of economic data, with new personal consumption expenditures and gross domestic product data released ahead of the opening bell. Inflation data came in cooler than expected. Core PCE, which excludes food and energy costs and is closely watched by the Federal Reserve, rose 0.1% from the month prior, below consensus estimates of 0.2% and the 0.3% increase seen in May. Headline PCE was roughly in line with expectations.

Treasury Yields Climb Further After Fed Signals Reluctance to Raise Rates
The Wall Street Journal6d agoneutral
Treasury Yields Climb Further After Fed Signals Reluctance to Raise Rates

Yields on 30-year U.S. Treasurys rose further to hit 5.24%, a 19-year high, before paring gains slightly, in a sign of investors' worries about rising inflation and the Fed’s willingness to combat it. The Fed's statement yesterday delivered “a hawkish hold,” wrote economists at Barclays. “But this was unwound by a dovish presser in which Kevin Warsh emphasized tightening in financial conditions that now seems inconsistent with his reluctance to react to data.”

Bond Yields Shoot Lower on Fed Decision
Barrons.com6d agoneutral
Bond Yields Shoot Lower on Fed Decision

The bond market got a bit of relief after the Fed left short-term rates steady again. Yields on two-year Treasuries fell by as much as four basis points after Wednesday's Fed decision to 4.252%, compared with the previous close. Yields had been higher most of the day leading up to the interest-rate announcement.

Fed Keeps Interest Rates Unchanged for 5th Straight Meeting
Barrons.com6d agoneutral
Fed Keeps Interest Rates Unchanged for 5th Straight Meeting

The Federal Reserve opted to keep short-term interest rates steady again on Wednesday. At the conclusion of a two-day policy meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee voted to keep its target for the federal-funds rate at 3.5% to 3.75% for the fifth straight meeting. Ahead of the announcement, the interest-rate futures market had the odds at 71% that officials would keep rates unchanged.

Treasury Yields Rise as Middle East Flare-Up Boosts Oil Prices
Barrons.com7d agoneutral
Treasury Yields Rise as Middle East Flare-Up Boosts Oil Prices

Renewed hostilities in the Middle East are pushing up Treasury yields as oil prices rally. The Iranian surprise attacks add uncertainty to U.S. monetary policy. Futures markets price in 64% odds of a hold by the Fed today, but bets on a hike rise to 36% from 31% yesterday, according to CME data.

It's Been a Brutal Week for Bond Markets
The Wall Street Journal12d agoneutral
It's Been a Brutal Week for Bond Markets

The latest escalation in the Middle East conflict has been tough on fixed-income investors. Global government bonds have tumbled this week, sending yields sharply higher, as surging oil prices revived inflation fears.

10-Year Yield Trades at Highest Level for the Year
Barrons.com13d agoneutral
10-Year Yield Trades at Highest Level for the Year

Treasuries are getting hit hard thanks to data showing economic resilience and higher oil prices. Meanwhile, jobless claims unexpectedly plunged. Higher oil prices push up yields as investors demand more coupon for a potentially higher inflation print in the future.

10-Year Treasury Yield Nears 2026 Peak Amid Inflation Worries
The Wall Street Journal14d agoneutral
10-Year Treasury Yield Nears 2026 Peak Amid Inflation Worries

Treasury yields continue to tick higher alongside oil prices, putting the 10-year yield close to its 2026 high point. The yield on the 10-year note climbed to 4.648% in morning trading, according to Tradeweb, just shy of the 4.687% intraday high that it reached on May 19. The uptick in oil prices is making investors more worried about the inflation outlook, with traders now seeing a roughly 50% chance that the Federal Reserve raises interest rates twice before the end of the year.

Treasury Yields Higher Ahead of Fed Meeting
Barrons.com14d agoneutral
Treasury Yields Higher Ahead of Fed Meeting

Treasury's fell sending yields higher, concluding a day of light U.S. economic data ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting next week. Brent crude futures added 2% to settle above $90 a barrel.

Treasury Yields Rise as U.S. Job Market Remains Resilient
Barrons.com20d agoneutral
Treasury Yields Rise as U.S. Job Market Remains Resilient

Treasury yields rise as the number of people filing for jobless insurance in the U.S. falls to 208,000 from an upwardly revised 216,000. Economists surveyed by WSJ expected an increase to 218,000. The July Philadelphia Fed business activity gauge jumps to 41.

European Bond Yields Climb on Inflation Fears
The Wall Street Journal22d agoneutral
European Bond Yields Climb on Inflation Fears

European bond yields are forging higher, in line with moves in U.S. Treasurys, as renewed hostilities in the Mideast push oil prices higher and revive inflation worries. The yield on the 10-year U.K. gilt has risen above 5%, after ending last week below 4.

Yield on 10-Year Treasury Touches Highest Level Since May
The Wall Street Journal28d agoneutral
Yield on 10-Year Treasury Touches Highest Level Since May

U.S.-Iran tensions pushed the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasurys to its highest intraday level since May this morning. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield reached as high as 4.583%, according to Tradeweb, its highest level since May 22.

Bond Yields Jump on Trump’s Ceasefire Comments
The Wall Street Journal28d agobullish
Bond Yields Jump on Trump’s Ceasefire Comments

Global bond yields are jumping on the back of higher oil prices this morning after President Trump said he thinks the ceasefire with Iran is "over." European bonds saw some of the biggest moves, with benchmark 10-year bond yields in the U.

Don’t Hold Your Breath for the Fed Minutes, This Strategist Says
The Wall Street Journal30d agoneutral
Don’t Hold Your Breath for the Fed Minutes, This Strategist Says

"Warsh explicitly avoided policy guidance in the statement and press conference, so it seems unlikely that he would permit such guidance via the minutes," writes Englander, head of G-10 foreign-exchange research at the bank. Englander's prediction chimes with the way that Warsh, who spent more than a decade arguing that the Fed should say less, has approached his new post so far.