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Bond Yields Tick Higher After Trump Promises $5,000 Checks
The Wall Street Journal9d agoneutral
Bond Yields Tick Higher After Trump Promises $5,000 Checks

The market reaction to President Trump’s proposal to give Americans $5,000? Let’s see. Bond yields, already at their highest level in years, ticked higher early Thursday after the president held out the prospect of a dividend payment should Republicans retain control of congress in the midterms.

What's Moving Markets Today?
The Wall Street Journal15d agoneutral
What's Moving Markets Today?

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 and Nasdaq edged lower today as a strong August jobs report provided another datapoint for Federal Reserve policy expectations. Also, diesel prices hit a record high, and another retail brand, Lululemon Athletica, took an earnings hit.

Strong Jobs Report Pushes Fed Closer to Hike
Barrons.com15d agoneutral
Strong Jobs Report Pushes Fed Closer to Hike

With the U.S. economy gaining 162,000 jobs in August and unemployment remaining on a steady course, Fed officials won't need to worry as much about labor conditions when weighing the possibility of raising interest rates later this month. If August's jobs growth had been weak again, it might have raised concerns that the economy wasn't strong enough for higher interest rates.

Yields Climb After Jobs Data Beats Expectations
The Wall Street Journal15d agobullish
Yields Climb After Jobs Data Beats Expectations

Treasury yields are climbing after a hotter-than-expected jobs report that analysts said increases the chances the Federal Reserve will lift short-term rates at its next meeting. The 2-year yield, which often rises and falls with traders' expectations for short-term rates set by the central bank, was recently trading around 4.

Stock Futures Drop on Strong Jobs Report
Barrons.com15d agobearish
Stock Futures Drop on Strong Jobs Report

Stocks pulled back after the August jobs report came in strong. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell 0.2%, or 129 points, while S&P 500 futures slipped 0.2%. Tech stocks held onto modest gains with Nasdaq 100 futures up 0.

Norway's Giant Oil Fund Could Buy More Japanese Debt While Offloading Treasurys
The Wall Street Journal15d agobullish
Norway's Giant Oil Fund Could Buy More Japanese Debt While Offloading Treasurys

A new proposal from Norges Bank Investment Management envisions shrinking the oil fund's overall portfolio of government debt. Its holdings of Japanese debt stand to rise, however, because of a technical change in how the fund measures the market. Bond holdings are currently based on the size of a country's economy, which kept Japan's allocation lower than its debt footprint while increasing the U.S. share.

Norway's Oil Fund Wants to Reduce Its Treasury Holdings by $80 Billion
The Wall Street Journal15d agoneutral
Norway's Oil Fund Wants to Reduce Its Treasury Holdings by $80 Billion

The manager of Norway's $2.4 trillion sovereign-wealth fund proposed cutting its holdings of government bonds and adding riskier debt to boost returns. The move would shrink its portfolio of U.S. Treasurys by about $80 billion, according to WSJ calculations. The proposed changes would see the fund's exposure to U.S. Treasurys fall to 21.9% of its bond portfolio from 34.1%.

Dow Adds 650 Points in Midday Rally
Barrons.com16d agobullish
Dow Adds 650 Points in Midday Rally

Stocks climbed as Wall Street let out a sigh of relief that bond yields ticked lower and the odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike fell. The S&P 500 gained 1%, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 1.4%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 1.

What’s Moving Markets Today?
The Wall Street Journal16d agoneutral
What’s Moving Markets Today?

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 and Nasdaq saw gains in morning trading as the odds of a Fed rate hike plunged, geopolitical unrest continued and Nvidia kept acquiring. Here is what is driving the markets today: The Fed’s will-they-won’t-they rate hike: The odds of a Fed rate hike this month are now a coin flip, according to CME FedWatch.

Treasury Yields Extend Decline as Odds of Fed Hike Fall
Barrons.com16d agobearish
Treasury Yields Extend Decline as Odds of Fed Hike Fall

Treasury yields are on pace for a second consecutive daily decline, as markets trim odds of an interest rate increase this month to 50% from 63%. The drop in yields happens even as the factors driving them to recent highs remain in place.

Oil Prices Stabilize, Offering Relief to Bond Yields
The Wall Street Journal16d agoneutral
Oil Prices Stabilize, Offering Relief to Bond Yields

Oil prices are settling after President Trump told reporters yesterday that he doesn't expect the latest round of fighting in the Middle East to last "too long." Fielding questions in the Oval Office, Trump was also asked about the recent jump in oil prices on the back of the attacks have flared in the Middle East this week.

Rising Yields Reflect Strong Economy, Says Fed’s Williams
Barrons.com16d agoneutral
Rising Yields Reflect Strong Economy, Says Fed’s Williams

The market is pricing in a rate increase as the most likely outcome at the central bank's upcoming meeting, according to CME Fed Watch. Odds the Fed will announce an increase in rates on Sept. 16 ticked lower to 64% from 66% on Wednesday, though were still significantly higher than they were just last week. The slight pullback came after New York Federal Reserve President John Williams said the recent rise in Treasury yields reflected a strong economy and signaled a wait-and-see approach to September's meeting.

What’s Moving  Markets Today?
The Wall Street Journal17d agoneutral
What’s Moving Markets Today?

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose moderately today even as worries about rising bond yields and a surge in oil prices are top of traders’ minds. Here is what is driving the markets today: Bonds, treasuries and a global selloff: The bond market is dramatic again today.

Fed’s Williams: Case for a Rate Hike Isn’t Yet Firm
The Wall Street Journal17d agoneutral
Fed’s Williams: Case for a Rate Hike Isn’t Yet Firm

New York Fed President John Williams indicated that he doesn't see clear-cut evidence right now that the Fed must raise interest rates to respond to persistent inflation. In an interview with CNBC, Williams said the current spate of rising prices is due in part to passing causes: one-time price increases from the Trump administration's tariffs and higher energy prices from the Iran conflict. It is not yet certain, he said, that those trends are snowballing into a broader bout of inflation that the Fed must respond to.

What Scott Bessent Had to Say About the Bond Market Selloff
The Wall Street Journal17d agobearish
What Scott Bessent Had to Say About the Bond Market Selloff

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has played down concerns over the bond market selloff this week as benchmark Treasury yields top 4.8%. Here’ s what he said at a G-20 finance ministers’ gathering in Asheville, N.

Odds of Fed Rate Hike in September Hit 70%
The Wall Street Journal17d agoneutral
Odds of Fed Rate Hike in September Hit 70%

Investors are now pricing in a 70% chance that the Federal Reserve raises rates at its Sept. 15-16 meeting. That is up from 37% a week ago, according to CME Group data. The jump in rate expectations is a major driver behind the rise in U.