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Rising inflation and climbing Treasury yields have already pushed investors to shift the narrative from interest rate cuts to potential rate hikes. Wednesday’s Federal Open Market Committee update made that outcome look a lot more realistic, maintains Bret Kenwell, US investment analyst at eToro US.
A laggard has made a comeback. A popular fund capturing the performance of long-duration Treasuries, the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond exchange-traded fund, is on track to end the week up 1.3%. The fund officially started delivering positive returns for the year on June 11.
After a day where Dow stocks outshined tech, stocks are mellow in early trading. Crude oil is up a smidge, while bonds, precious metals, and the US dollar are mostly flat.
Explore how credit quality and diversification set these two long-duration bond ETFs apart for income-focused investors.
Prior to the start of the Iran War, President Donald Trump had been feuding with Jerome Powell about cutting interest rates. Despite tremendous capital inflows from tariffs, record-low inflation, and a revived business climate due to cutting bureaucratic Biden-era restrictions, Powell stubbornly refused to cut rates. Kevin Warsh took the Fed chair oath on ... Long Bonds Just Lost Money for a Sixth Straight Year, And One Quiet ETF Is Engineered for the Reversal
<p>Mutual fund conversions have become relatively mainstream in the last year or so, but has it been a profitable choice? John Hyland digs into the numbers and the shifting narrative in the mutual fund-to-ETF conversion conversation. </p>
Bond yields may scare investors away from long-duration Treasuries, providing an opportunity for contrarian investors to make a move.
The U.S. and Iran have reached a peace agreement to end the war, with the final signing expected to be on June 19 in Switzerland.
Expense-conscious investors may find one fund's risk profile and historical growth especially compelling compared to its larger rival.
In this timely episode of the MoneyShow MoneyMasters Podcast, Michael Lee, founder of Michael Lee Strategy, shares his expert perspective on the current volatility within the Artificial Intelligence sector.
The Fed’s new chairman may end up presiding over interest-rate hikes, even though President Donald Trump wants lower rates.
The Fed’s new chairman may end up presiding over interest-rate hikes, even though President Donald Trump wants lower rates.
The May Consumer Price Index was largely in line with expectations, with headline inflation rising 0.5% month-over-month and core CPI up 0.2%, one-tenth below forecasts. But inflation remains the economy's major pain point, regardless of who ultimately absorbs the costs, notes Peter Boockvar, editor of The Boock Report.
After a mixed day on Wall Street Monday, stocks are looking to advance today. Crude oil is pulling back, while gold, silver, and Treasuries are mostly flat. The dollar is lower.
What hasn’t really moved, however, is the longer end of the bond market, where yields remain elevated and forecasts for Federal Reserve rate hikes are getting increasingly aggressive following last week’s stronger-than-expected payroll data, and ahead of Wednesday’s May inflation readings. The higher yields, which have for the most part echoed market bets on a Fed rate hike before the end of the year, now priced at around 70% by the CME Group’s FedWatch, also seem to be resetting at levels that could make stock markets uncomfortable. Its closest comparison in the bond markets, the yield on 3-month Treasury bills, is holding at around 3.7%.
<p>YTD inflows are up to $860 billion.</p>
One hundred days into the Iran war, AI, shipping and cannabis ETFs have surged, while crypto, bonds and gold miners lagged.
As we’ve been predicting in recent months, labor market conditions are improving, while inflationary pressures remain elevated. We expect the Federal Reserve will shift to a tightening bias at the June meeting and will probably hike the federal funds rate in July if current trends persist, notes Ed Yardeni, editor of Yardeni QuickTakes.
A 68-year-old retiree who moved $180,000 out of stocks and into the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT) in late 2024 was making a directional rate bet. The pitch was clean: lock in a 4.5% long-bond yield before the Federal Reserve cut rates, then collect price appreciation on top of monthly coupons. The 20-year ... If You Hold This 20 Year Treasury ETF You Are Losing Money Even With Yields Up
After the financial market's recent performance, many portfolios could be out of balance.
The May employment data landed with a thud for bond bulls, with implications for Treasury proxies like the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT). May nonfarm payrolls rose 172,000, the best number since March, when the figure came in at 185,000, and well above expectations. CNBC’s Rick Santelli, reacting on Squawk Box, asked, “Is ... The Jobs Report Released Today Was Great. That’s Bad News for Bond Yields.
<p>The first half of 2026 produced dramatic divergence across ETF categories. Energy ETFs surged as much as 96% on Middle East conflict, semiconductor funds gained up to 100%, and South Korean memory chip ETFs became surprise standouts — while crypto sank, long bonds went nowhere, and gold rested after its monster 2025 run. Here's where the money was made and lost through May 2026, and what to watch for the rest of the year.</p>
The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT) has done something this year that surprises a lot of holders. Despite the Federal Reserve cutting rates 75 basis points over the past 12 months to a 3.75% upper bound, TLT is down about 1% year to date and trades near $85. The long end of the ... Watch This One Number to Know If TLT Will Rally Over the Next 12 Months
TLT Searches Spike as the Bond Rout Deepens By IPO Edge Editorial Staff The 30-year Treasury yield just punched above 5%, its highest since 2007, and long bonds have nowhere […]
<p>The technology sector continues to see significant investor interest as ETF inflows and filings chase after the memory chip boom and the impending SpaceX IPO. Tune in to hear what the experts think about if these trends have lasting momentum and what investors need to watch for. </p>
Peter Schiff has spent his career predicting bond market trouble. On the latest episode of his podcast he thinks the trouble finally has nowhere left to hide. Oil prices have softened, war headlines have improved, and yet the long end of the Treasury curve refuses to behave. The 30-year yield sits at 5%, the 10-year ... Peter Schiff: U.S. Borrowing Costs Now Top Germany and Japan, and It’s Not About the War
Crude oil, gold, and silver are all sliding to start the day, while equities are up a smidge. Treasuries and the dollar are mostly flat, while Bitcoin continues to mark time in the mid-$70,000s.
The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT) is the fund people buy when they want the safest thing in the world. Treasuries don’t default. The U.S. government prints the currency it owes you in. And yet TLT holders watched ~50% of the fund’s value evaporate between its 2020 peak and its October 2023 trough, ... TLT Holders Down -50%! A Brutal Reminder Your Long Treasuries Can Halve Without a Single Default
Bonds might not be the safety net they used to be if inflation stays high.
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