Treasury yields and the dollar decline amid renewed hopes of an agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The WSJ Dollar Index slips 0.1% as the greenback weakens 0.6% against the yen. Nonfarm payrolls are due Friday and expected to increase to 85,000 from 57,000, according to a WSJ consensus.
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The Morning Bull - US Market Morning Update Monday, Jul, 20 2026 US stock futures are pointing lower this morning, with E mini S&P 500 contracts down around 1%, as investors weigh falling bond yields against a cooling housing backdrop. The US 10 year Treasury yield has slipped to about 4.5% after softer inflation readings. In plain terms, this means borrowing costs in financial markets are easing a little even as the debate over the Federal Reserve's next move continues. At the same time,...
Bond yields dropped sharply and Nasdaq futures climbed after a cooler-than-expected inflation report this morning. Futures for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 index rose, while those tied to the Dow industrials edged lower.
The Morning Bull - US Market Morning Update Thursday, Jul, 9 2026 US stock futures are pointing lower this morning, with E mini S&P 500 contracts down about 0.8%, as investors react to a mix of higher borrowing costs and fresh inflation worries. The US 10 year Treasury yield is sitting near 4.58%, a 4 week high, which means mortgages, car loans and business borrowing could stay expensive. At the same time, one year US inflation expectations are at 3.7%, and a drop in US oil inventories is...
Treasury yields and the dollar slide as the U.S. economy creates fewer jobs than expected in June. The BLS reports jobs growth at 57,000, lower than WSJ consensus of 115,000. May's figure is revised down to 129,000 from 172,000, and April's to 148,000 from 179,000.
Bond yields dropped and stocks kept rising after the Federal Reserve’s benchmark inflation gauge matched expectations. The core personal expenditures price index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices and is watched closely by the central bank, rose at a 0.
Treasury yields cool down a little while the dollar rises as U.S.-Iran talks inch forward. Crude prices slip, as the U.S. cleared the way for Iran to sell oil in dollars, including to U.S. buyers, as part of the negotiations to restore shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Treasury yields and the dollar rise amid tense negotiations in the Middle East. Oil prices decline as mediators say U.S.-Iran talks will continue this week, following a rocky start. The long disruption in global oil supplies, however, keeps inflation fears elevated.
Falling oil prices drive Treasury yields and the dollar lower. Crude slips 3% on hopes an Israel-Lebanon ceasefire could facilitate negotiations with Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. WSJ reports President Trump wants to maintain a ceasefire with Iran unless American troops are killed, easing fears of escalation.
Treasury yields fall as markets nurture hopes of a deal to fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz and ahead of a batch of U.S. indicators. Oil prices plunge 5%, with the WTI falling below $90 a barrel. The WSJ Dollar Index is down 0.
Treasury yields decline as U.S. and Iran negotiate the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Oil trades below $100 a barrel, although a final deal remains uncertain. The WSJ Dollar Index rises 0.1%. The Conference Board consumer confidence index is expected to edge lower to 92, in data due at 10 a.
Treasury yields rise as Fed governor Waller turns hawkish and U.S. consumer sentiment falls more than expected. Waller says a prolonged Middle East conflict increases the risk of energy inflation spreading across the economy, hence the Fed should stop signaling a rate cut as its most likely next move.
Treasury yields and the dollar deepen their decline as oil prices fall. Brent and WTI are down about 4%, reflecting hopes that the Strait of Hormuz could reopen soon. Meanwhile, U.S. crude inventories plummeted by 7.
The Treasury selloff takes a break, causing yields to fall slightly as markets worry about the inflationary consequences of the U.S.-Iran standoff. Oil futures slip, but remain high enough to keep policymakers on their toes.
The selloff in U.S. government bonds has paused for now, but it’s gotten Wall Street to ask: How much more turmoil would it take to push President Trump to soften his stance on Iran? The textbook example took place in April last year, when a messy sell-off in the bond market led Trump to pause sweeping tariffs on dozens of countries. “Judging by the post-'Liberation Day’ episode last spring, market conditions might need to get considerably worse to generate a similar full-scale retreat,” Capital Economics wrote in a research note Tuesday.
Yields on U.S. Treasurys are continuing their ascent today, after climbing to multiyear highs over the past days. Yields on 10-year Treasurys are now trading well above 4.6%, while 30-year notes are not far off from 5.
The 10-year yield is up 0.023 percentage points to trade at 4.382%, while the 30-year yield is trading at 4.96%. "4.30%-4.40% has contained much of the price action in the 10-year sector of late," writes Ian Lyngen, head of U.S. rates strategy at BMO Capital.
Treasury yields decline despite higher-than-expected job creation in the U.S. and as President Trump calls a new flareup of hostilities with Iran a "trifle." April payrolls stand at 115,000, slower than March's upwardly revised 185,000 but well above WSJ consensus of 55,000.
Bond yields nearly rose to levels seen in March during the height of fears over the Iran War–but it shouldn’t frighten investors. Much of the gains in yields came ahead of that hour as the Treasury market sold off alongside rising oil prices. Multiple Fed presidents didn’t support the inclusion of an easing bias, or potential lower rates in the future, in the FOMC statement, telling traders the Fed is likely closer to hikes than cuts.
The U.S. debt market selloff picked up after the Fed left rates steady again. The Fed left rates steady but there was a higher level of dissent among participants. Fed governor Stephen Miran has typically dissented, but this time there were also multiple Fed presidents who didn’t support statement language including “an easing bias.”