
Strong August jobs data raised rate-hike odds ahead of the Fed's September meeting. IWM, XLF, and TLT offer different ways for investors to position for the decision's outcome.
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Strong August jobs data raised rate-hike odds ahead of the Fed's September meeting. IWM, XLF, and TLT offer different ways for investors to position for the decision's outcome.

Cooling inflation and weaker job data ease Fed hike bets, but Hormuz tensions increase oil risks. See how QQQ, IWM and TLT may respond.
Recent inflation trends have forced the Federal Reserve to pause anticipated rate cuts, making high interest rates and small stocks an important topic for investors again. The common belief is that small stocks underperform when interest rates are high or rising. That view is not baseless, outlines Faris Sleem, editor of The Bowser Report.
The momentum trade that powered the US stock market through the first half of 2026 is showing cracks, and Bloomberg US Equities Reporter Natalia Kniazhevich says the unwind is already underway. On the July 3 Bloomberg Daybreak segment, Kniazhevich explained that “Momentum is the best-performing factor. It is up by 28% year to date. We ... Top Bloomberg Reporter: Wall Street’s Biggest Winning Trade Is “Starting to Fade” After Jobs Report Shock
Kevin Warsh went to Sintra and said what bond traders have been waiting to hear all summer. Inflation looks like it has peaked. Oil is cooperating. The tail risk of a July or August rate shock, the one quietly haunting every duration-heavy portfolio in America, just got a lot less scary. That was the read ... Fed Chair Warsh Just Said the One Thing About Inflation Every Investor Wanted to Hear
The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSEARCA:IWM) has given small-cap holders a year worth celebrating. IWM is trading at $296, up 20% year to date and 41% over the trailing 12 months, breaking the three-year range trade that defined the Russell 2000 from 2022 through most of 2025. With the Fed on an extended pause and ... Two Catalysts Could Trigger Massive IWM Gains Before Year-End, or Signal a Sharp Reversal
Core inflation rate came in at 2.9% year-over-year yesterday. This stopped interest rate hike expectations from being anchored, and the 10-year Treasury closed last week near 4.6%. That backdrop is still supposed to be poison for stocks. Yet the Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF (NYSEARCA:AVUV) is up 20% year to date and 36% over ... Sticky Inflation’s Worst Nightmare: Why Small Value Stocks Are Secretly Printing Money
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