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The dollar slid Tuesday after a drop in US inflation dented expectations of an interest rate hike later this month.Earlier Tuesday, the market saw a roughly 40 percent probability of a US interest rate hike this month, but that fell to 13 percent after the CPI data was published.
Yahoo Finance's Markets and Data Editor Jared Blikre and Senior Business Reporter Brooke DiPalma join Julie Hyman on Market Catalysts to break down the June Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, what it means for the Federal Reserve's rate-cut outlook, and how Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's testimony could shape expectations for monetary policy.
Fresh economic data showing consumer prices fell in June sent stocks mostly higher at Tuesday's opening bell. The tech-heavy Nasdaq was up 0.4%, while the S&P 500 gained 0.2%. The Dow was up 0.2%, or 83 points.
June CPI came in at 3.5% annually, below the 3.8% economists expected, but rising oil prices and an IBM warning capped gains
Bond yields dropped sharply and Nasdaq futures climbed after a cooler-than-expected inflation report this morning. Futures for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 index rose, while those tied to the Dow industrials edged lower.
Wall Street looked set for a mixed open as investors digested a 23% plunge in IBM shares, another jump in oil prices and the start of the second-quarter earnings season. Dow Jones futures were down 281 points, or 0.5%, while S&P 500 futures were 0.1% lower. Nasdaq futures were pointing...
By Ragini Mathur and Avinash P July 14 (Reuters) - S&P 500 and Dow futures fell on Tuesday in choppy trading as investors sifted through earnings reports from Wall Street's biggest banks, while IBM
Stock futures pointed in different directions Tuesday as rising energy prices, bank earnings, and key inflation data competed for investor attention
Market pulses were elevated on Tuesday as Wall Street contended with surging oil prices amid renewed fighting in the Middle East and braced for key economic indicators from the Consumer Price Index and the Fed, and earnings from America's big banks. The Cboe Volatility Index, or Vix, rose 1% to 17.32. The widely watched gauge takes the temperature of Wall Street and any reading above 20 tends to indicate increased market volatility.
An expected decline in headline inflation for June doesn't tell the full story.
Futures on the major gauges fell after a brief peace between Iran and the US disintegrated.
<body><p>STORY: U.S. stocks ended lower on Monday, with the Dow losing about a quarter of a percent, the S&P 500 falling roughly eight-tenths of a percent and the Nasdaq dropping more than one-and-a-half percent.</p><p>:: Archive</p><p>Oil prices jumped after President Donald Trump announced he would reinstate a blockade on Iranian ports in the latest escalation of U.S.-Iran hostilities.</p><p>Alexander Morris is CEO and chief investment officer of F/m Investments.</p><p>"Anyone watching the market today is really seeing what happens when there is confusion in the market, of information. We have a weekend where we think that Iran is sorting itself out, and then the blockade is back on. The ceasefire is teetering, but we're shooting at each other. Confusion is back. The dollar is down. The [yield] curve is up. It seems like the market is starting to price back in the fact that any of the good news bits that we had previously thought might be the start of the end are actually maybe just the end of the beginning."</p><p>Chip stocks, which have tended to lead the market through both rally and selloff, slid on Monday, with SanDisk, Marvell Technology and Intel dropping between about 6% and 12.5%.</p><p>And after a stellar Nasdaq debut on Friday, U.S.-listed shares of South Korean chipmaker SK Hynix sank more than 9%.</p><p>On the flip side, energy stocks led the gainers, as crude prices surged more than 9%. Shares of Chevron added more than 3% while Exxon Mobil climbed 4%.</p><p>Higher oil costs fueled worries that strained supply and upward price pressures could broaden into long-term, systemic inflation.</p><p>To that end, the Labor Department is expected to release its consumer and producer price indexes this week, which will give markets and the Federal Reserve a glimpse at the extent to which the on-again-off-again U.S.-Iran war affected price growth in June.</p></body>
US stocks are set for a weaker start to the week after last week finished on a positive note, with technology shares expected to come under the most pressure as investors balanced renewed geopolitical tensions against a busy week for inflation data and the start of bank earnings...
Markets were subdued ahead of a busy week for markets, with inflation reports, bank earnings, and geopolitical risk hanging in the balance.
Jerome Powell's successor vowed to get the Fed "out of the fiscal business" -- but that's not happened.
No forward-looking guidance is necessary when Warsh and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) are providing decisive claims like this.
Payrolls badly missed the 115,000 economists expected, and the unemployment rate's dip to 4.2% masked a shrinking labor force. Now it's Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's problem.
<body><p>STORY: U.S. stocks closed higher on Friday, with the Dow gaining nearly three-tenths of a percent, the S&P 500 adding more than four-tenths of a percent to end just short of a record high, and the Nasdaq climbing nearly three-tenths of a percent.</p><p>The AI trade returned to the spotlight after South Korean memory chip maker SK Hynix ended almost 13% above its offer price at $168 in a blockbuster U.S. listing. The company raised over $26 billion on Thursday by selling American Depositary Receipts priced at $149 each.</p><p>U.S. stocks added to gains after President Donald Trump said that Iran had asked to continue talks and the U.S. had agreed, but that the June ceasefire was "over."</p><p>Ross Mayfield is investment strategist at Baird Private Wealth Management.</p><p>"Today I think markets are a little bit higher as it's evident once again that neither Iran nor the U.S. really want to re-engage in a hot war in the Middle East. This is going to be a volatile back and forth, who knows what will happen over the weekend. But I do think even a little bit of calm is helping markets, helping yields and oil pull back. And then this is kind of a calm before the storm. Not a lot going on today besides the SK Hynix debut. But next week - retail sales, CPI (Consumer Price Index), and the start of bank earnings. So a lot for investors to prep for, kind of a calm before the storm trading day."</p><p>Stocks on the move Friday included Meta Platforms, which jumped 6% to its highest level since April.</p><p>Shares of Moderna tumbled almost 11% in its worst day in over a year.</p><p>And shares of Delta Air Lines dropped more than 1.5%, even after the carrier forecast third-quarter profit above expectations.</p><p>Investors now look to quarterly earnings season, which kicks off next week.</p></body>
A weak stock market wouldn’t be the only painful outcome of a Mag Seven collapse. It could also risk tipping the economy into recession.
Stocks saw brief pullback after Trump posted about U.S.-Iran negotiations. The Dow was up 54 points or 0.1%, while the S&P 500 hovered near the flatline. “The muted stock market reaction to the re-escalation of Iran tensions this week is prime evidence that the market is looking past geopolitical tensions,” Clark Bellin, CIO of Bellwether Wealth said, adding, “From a stock market point of view, the stock market already reacted to the Iran situation in March and similar to last year's tariff tantrums, once the market reacts to something, it tends to move on in due time.”
The stock market's biggest catalyst may bring about its own demise.
FINANCE U.S. stocks rose as fears about a return to full-blown war in Iran subsided, bringing down oil prices and quelling inflation expectations. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 139.02, or 0.27%, to 52487.
The new head of the central bank inadvertently spilled the beans on what's likely coming regarding interest rates.
Markets tumbled after President Trump said the ceasefire with Iran may be over. Speaking in Turkey at the NATO summit, the president said the U.S. was likely to continue strikes. The Nasdaq Composite, however, managed a 0.2% gain.
Stocks were little-changed after the Fed released minutes from its latest meeting. The Federal Open Market Committee held rates steady in June, and the meeting was the first under the leadership of Chairman Kevin Warsh. The Dow was down 600 points, or 1.6%, the S&P 500 was down 0.4%, and the Nasdaq was down 0.1%.
Stock Market Today: The Dow Jones index dropped Wednesday after Trump declared the ceasefire is "over." Micron and Sandisk dived.
U.S. futures and European equities extended losses in late morning European trading, as market fear further conflict in the Middle East.
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