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Nasdaq Rallies After In-Line Inflation Report
Barrons.com18h agobullish
Nasdaq Rallies After In-Line Inflation Report

Stocks were rallying out of the gate on Wednesday after Wall Street shrugged off the latest inflation report. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 101 points, or 0.2%. The S&P 500 was up 0.5%. The Nasdaq Composite gained 0.

Rising Oil Prices Pressure Bond Market Again
The Wall Street Journal1d agoneutral
Rising Oil Prices Pressure Bond Market Again

Higher energy prices are reigniting inflation concerns, pushing global government bond yields upward. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.729% this morning, according to Tradeweb, within striking of its year-to-date closing peak of 4.

Treasury Yields Rise as Wall Street Expects Stable Inflation Data
Barrons.com2d agoneutral
Treasury Yields Rise as Wall Street Expects Stable Inflation Data

Treasury yields rise ahead of U.S. inflation data due later this week and following July's unexpected negative payroll numbers. Iran makes tough demands to reopen Hormuz, pushing oil futures up 1.5%. Economists surveyed by WSJ expect July's 12-month CPI inflation to cool slightly to 3.

Traders Scale Back Bets on Rate Hike
The Wall Street Journal5d agoneutral
Traders Scale Back Bets on Rate Hike

Friday’s weaker-than-expected jobs report has flipped the market-based odds of whether the Federal Reserve raises interest rate in September. Interest-rate futures now show a 56% chance that the Fed stays on hold at its next meeting and a 44% chance of a rate hike, according to CME Group data.

Fed’s Kashkari: It’s Time to ‘Start Slowly Moving’ Rates Higher
The Wall Street Journal7d agoneutral
Fed’s Kashkari: It’s Time to ‘Start Slowly Moving’ Rates Higher

Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari said he believes it is time to “start slowly moving” interest rates higher to help bring down inflation to the Fed’s 2% target. During an interview on CNBC, the central bank official said he isn’t calling for a dramatic increase in rates, adding: “I don’t see evidence monetary policy is marginally restrictive right now, and I think we have more work to do to get inflation back down.

Stock Futures Unfazed by Cooler Inflation and Slow Economic Growth
Barrons.com13d agoneutral
Stock Futures Unfazed by Cooler Inflation and Slow Economic Growth

The market got a fresh batch of economic data, with new personal consumption expenditures and gross domestic product data released ahead of the opening bell. Inflation data came in cooler than expected. Core PCE, which excludes food and energy costs and is closely watched by the Federal Reserve, rose 0.1% from the month prior, below consensus estimates of 0.2% and the 0.3% increase seen in May. Headline PCE was roughly in line with expectations.

Treasury Yields Climb Further After Fed Signals Reluctance to Raise Rates
The Wall Street Journal13d agoneutral
Treasury Yields Climb Further After Fed Signals Reluctance to Raise Rates

Yields on 30-year U.S. Treasurys rose further to hit 5.24%, a 19-year high, before paring gains slightly, in a sign of investors' worries about rising inflation and the Fed’s willingness to combat it. The Fed's statement yesterday delivered “a hawkish hold,” wrote economists at Barclays. “But this was unwound by a dovish presser in which Kevin Warsh emphasized tightening in financial conditions that now seems inconsistent with his reluctance to react to data.”

Bond Yields Shoot Lower on Fed Decision
Barrons.com14d agoneutral
Bond Yields Shoot Lower on Fed Decision

The bond market got a bit of relief after the Fed left short-term rates steady again. Yields on two-year Treasuries fell by as much as four basis points after Wednesday's Fed decision to 4.252%, compared with the previous close. Yields had been higher most of the day leading up to the interest-rate announcement.

Fed Keeps Interest Rates Unchanged for 5th Straight Meeting
Barrons.com14d agoneutral
Fed Keeps Interest Rates Unchanged for 5th Straight Meeting

The Federal Reserve opted to keep short-term interest rates steady again on Wednesday. At the conclusion of a two-day policy meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee voted to keep its target for the federal-funds rate at 3.5% to 3.75% for the fifth straight meeting. Ahead of the announcement, the interest-rate futures market had the odds at 71% that officials would keep rates unchanged.

Treasury Yields Rise as Middle East Flare-Up Boosts Oil Prices
Barrons.com14d agoneutral
Treasury Yields Rise as Middle East Flare-Up Boosts Oil Prices

Renewed hostilities in the Middle East are pushing up Treasury yields as oil prices rally. The Iranian surprise attacks add uncertainty to U.S. monetary policy. Futures markets price in 64% odds of a hold by the Fed today, but bets on a hike rise to 36% from 31% yesterday, according to CME data.

It's Been a Brutal Week for Bond Markets
The Wall Street Journal19d agoneutral
It's Been a Brutal Week for Bond Markets

The latest escalation in the Middle East conflict has been tough on fixed-income investors. Global government bonds have tumbled this week, sending yields sharply higher, as surging oil prices revived inflation fears.

10-Year Yield Trades at Highest Level for the Year
Barrons.com20d agoneutral
10-Year Yield Trades at Highest Level for the Year

Treasuries are getting hit hard thanks to data showing economic resilience and higher oil prices. Meanwhile, jobless claims unexpectedly plunged. Higher oil prices push up yields as investors demand more coupon for a potentially higher inflation print in the future.

10-Year Treasury Yield Nears 2026 Peak Amid Inflation Worries
The Wall Street Journal21d agoneutral
10-Year Treasury Yield Nears 2026 Peak Amid Inflation Worries

Treasury yields continue to tick higher alongside oil prices, putting the 10-year yield close to its 2026 high point. The yield on the 10-year note climbed to 4.648% in morning trading, according to Tradeweb, just shy of the 4.687% intraday high that it reached on May 19. The uptick in oil prices is making investors more worried about the inflation outlook, with traders now seeing a roughly 50% chance that the Federal Reserve raises interest rates twice before the end of the year.

Treasury Yields Higher Ahead of Fed Meeting
Barrons.com22d agoneutral
Treasury Yields Higher Ahead of Fed Meeting

Treasury's fell sending yields higher, concluding a day of light U.S. economic data ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting next week. Brent crude futures added 2% to settle above $90 a barrel.

Treasury Yields Rise as U.S. Job Market Remains Resilient
Barrons.com27d agoneutral
Treasury Yields Rise as U.S. Job Market Remains Resilient

Treasury yields rise as the number of people filing for jobless insurance in the U.S. falls to 208,000 from an upwardly revised 216,000. Economists surveyed by WSJ expected an increase to 218,000. The July Philadelphia Fed business activity gauge jumps to 41.

European Bond Yields Climb on Inflation Fears
The Wall Street Journal29d agoneutral
European Bond Yields Climb on Inflation Fears

European bond yields are forging higher, in line with moves in U.S. Treasurys, as renewed hostilities in the Mideast push oil prices higher and revive inflation worries. The yield on the 10-year U.K. gilt has risen above 5%, after ending last week below 4.