The July jobs report made one thing very clear: Policymakers and investors can't take their eye off the ball. Going into Friday's data release, the consensus was that the labor market was stable and had gained ground since last year's stalled-out environment. It proved to be a bit of a similar pattern to recent years, particularly 2025, when July payrolls disappointed and the BLS lowered the previous two months' estimated payroll gains by 258,000.
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Today's jobs report, out at 8:30 a.m. ET is expected to show fairly solid payroll gains and a steady unemployment rate in July. A deviation from those expectations could swing the outlook for Federal Reserve rate hikes, with markets on the fence about September's meeting. S&P 500 futures are slightly higher and Nasdaq 100 futures moderately so ahead of the jobs report.
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