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Dow Opens Higher Despite Soft Jobs Report
Barrons.com41d agoneutral
Dow Opens Higher Despite Soft Jobs Report

Stocks were up to start Thursday’s session after the unemployment rate fell unexpectedly in June. The Dow rose 370 points, or 0.7%. The U.S. economy added fewer jobs than economists expected in June, but unemployment dipped to 4.2%.

Treasury Yields, Dollar Fall as U.S. Job Creation Slows
Barrons.com41d agobearish
Treasury Yields, Dollar Fall as U.S. Job Creation Slows

Treasury yields and the dollar slide as the U.S. economy creates fewer jobs than expected in June. The BLS reports jobs growth at 57,000, lower than WSJ consensus of 115,000. May's figure is revised down to 129,000 from 172,000, and April's to 148,000 from 179,000.

Treasury Yields Rise Ahead of U.S. Labor Data
Barrons.com43d agoneutral
Treasury Yields Rise Ahead of U.S. Labor Data

Treasury yields rise, on path for a quarterly increase. An agreement to fully restore shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remains elusive and oil prices edge higher. Fed funds futures price at least one Fed hike this year, according to CME.

Treasury Yields Rise as U.S/Iran Talks to Continue
Barrons.com44d agoneutral
Treasury Yields Rise as U.S/Iran Talks to Continue

Demand for U.S. government debt weakens and Treasury yields rise, as U.S. and Iran agree to halt fighting while negotiating a deal to fully restore shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Oil prices edge higher but remain around pre-war levels.

Treasury Yields, Dollar Trend Lower as Inflation Fears Ease
Barrons.com47d agoneutral
Treasury Yields, Dollar Trend Lower as Inflation Fears Ease

Treasury yields and the dollar ease as oil prices fall 3% and markets recalibrate the outlook for U.S. interest rates. Odds of one rate increase this year remain high, priced at 42% on CME's FedWatch tool, while odds of a second hike decline to 28% from 34% a week ago, as inflation forecasts cool down.

Bond Yields Drop and Stocks Rise After PCE Report
Barrons.com48d agobearish
Bond Yields Drop and Stocks Rise After PCE Report

Bond yields dropped and stocks kept rising after the Federal Reserve’s benchmark inflation gauge matched expectations. The core personal expenditures price index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices and is watched closely by the central bank, rose at a 0.

Treasury Yields Slip Amid Middle East Conflict Lull
Barrons.com49d agoneutral
Treasury Yields Slip Amid Middle East Conflict Lull

Treasury yields decline as U.S.-Iran peace talks continue and oil futures fall 3%. May U.S. new home sales, due at 10 a.m. ET, are expected to increase 1.6%, after contracting by 6.2% in April, according to a WSJ survey.

Treasury Yields Fall, Dollar Strengthens as Oil Prices Slip
Barrons.com50d agobearish
Treasury Yields Fall, Dollar Strengthens as Oil Prices Slip

Treasury yields cool down a little while the dollar rises as U.S.-Iran talks inch forward. Crude prices slip, as the U.S. cleared the way for Iran to sell oil in dollars, including to U.S. buyers, as part of the negotiations to restore shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.

Treasury Yields, Dollar Rise as U.S.-Iran Talks Stumble Along
Barrons.com51d agobearish
Treasury Yields, Dollar Rise as U.S.-Iran Talks Stumble Along

Treasury yields and the dollar rise amid tense negotiations in the Middle East. Oil prices decline as mediators say U.S.-Iran talks will continue this week, following a rocky start. The long disruption in global oil supplies, however, keeps inflation fears elevated.

Bond Market Gives Its Feedback on the Fed
Barrons.com56d agoneutral
Bond Market Gives Its Feedback on the Fed

The loudest feedback on Kevin Warsh's first press conference as Fed chairman came from the bond market. Just look at the Treasury yield curve. U.S. debt maturing in 10-years now yields only 0.7663 percentage points more than debt maturing in 2 years.

Bonds Like the Fed's Hawkish Tilt
Barrons.com56d agoneutral
Bonds Like the Fed's Hawkish Tilt

Bonds are in the driver's seat as Kevin Warsh chairs his first Fed meeting. Look at the yield or interest rate on the 2-year note, which is up strongly by 0.097 percentage points. Higher yields on a shorter-dated note suggest the bond market is readying to see a rate hike by the Fed sometime this year.

Treasury Yields Rise Ahead of First Fed Decision Under Warsh
Barrons.com56d agoneutral
Treasury Yields Rise Ahead of First Fed Decision Under Warsh

Treasury yields tick higher ahead of the first interest rate decision under Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh. Rates are expected to remain unchanged. Investors are curious about how Warsh will change the central bank's communications with the public and its forward guidance.

Treasury Yields Ease as Markets Await Iran Deal Details, Fed
Barrons.com57d agoneutral
Treasury Yields Ease as Markets Await Iran Deal Details, Fed

Demand for Treasuries picks up, sending yields lower, as details of the announced peace deal with Iran remain unclear and the first two-day Fed meeting with Warsh as chairman starts. Oil prices fall nearly 5% and the WSJ Dollar Index is flat.

Treasury Yields, Dollar Decline as U.S.-Iran Deal Materializes
Barrons.com58d agoneutral
Treasury Yields, Dollar Decline as U.S.-Iran Deal Materializes

Treasury yields and the dollar slip as President Trump and Iran agree to sign a peace deal later this week while markets brace for the first Fed meeting under Chairman Warsh. The U.S.-Iran pact is expected to restore normal oil trade through the Strait of Hormuz.

Traders Reduce Bets on a Fed Rate Rise This Year
The Wall Street Journal58d agoneutral
Traders Reduce Bets on a Fed Rate Rise This Year

News of a deal between Washington and Tehran that could reopen the Strait of Hormuz has prompted investors to pare back bets on higher rates this morning. The thinking: If oil starts flowing more freely, energy prices would likely fall, reducing inflationary pressure and giving the Fed less reason to increase rates. It's a reversal from just a week ago, when investors were still digesting news of a stronger-than-expected May jobs report.

Treasury Yields, Dollar Rise on War Rhetoric, U.S. Data
Barrons.com62d agoneutral
Treasury Yields, Dollar Rise on War Rhetoric, U.S. Data

Treasury yields and the dollar rise amid hotter-than-expected U.S. wholesale inflation and as President Trump renews military threats against Iran. May PPI was 1.1%, matching April's advance and beating WSJ consensus of 0.

Stock Futures Stay Lower After CPI Inflation Report Matches Expectations
Barrons.com63d agoneutral
Stock Futures Stay Lower After CPI Inflation Report Matches Expectations

Stock futures were still trading lower after the consumer price index for May matched expectations. The headline CPI rose at a 4.2% annual rate, which was in line with the consensus among economists. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose at a 2.9% annual rate, which was also in line with expectations.

Treasury Yields Slip as Small Business Owners Grow Gloomier
Barrons.com64d agoneutral
Treasury Yields Slip as Small Business Owners Grow Gloomier

Treasury yields slip amid signs of declining optimism among U.S. small-business owners. Tensions remain high in the Middle East, but oil prices fall around 2% and the WSJ Dollar Index is down 0.2%. The NFIB small-business optimism index falls 0.

2-Year Yield Jumps to Highest Level in a Year
The Wall Street Journal68d agobullish
2-Year Yield Jumps to Highest Level in a Year

The inflation fears sparking Friday's selloff propelled the 2-year Treasury yield to its level since Feb. 2025. The 2-year note settled at 4.160%, while the 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.537%. Investors dumped bonds after a hot jobs report rekindled the possibility of rate hikes this year.

Rate Hikes? In This Economy?
The Wall Street Journal68d agoneutral
Rate Hikes? In This Economy?

The hot May jobs report added to the inflation concerns that have increasingly fueled Wall Street's bets that rate hikes may be more likely than cuts this year. Futures markets Friday suggested a roughly 58% likelihood of at least one rate hike by year's end, according to CME's FedWatch tool.

Treasury Yields Jump on Hot Jobs Report. Stock Futures Stay Lower.
Barrons.com68d agobullish
Treasury Yields Jump on Hot Jobs Report. Stock Futures Stay Lower.

Stock futures kept falling after a hot jobs report sent bond yields higher. Dow futures were flat. S&P 500 futures were down 0.6%. Nasdaq 100 futures was down 1.3%. The U.S. economy added 172,000 jobs in May, which was well above expectations at 105,000 jobs.

Treasury Yields, Dollar Fall Amid Easing Fears of Escalation in Middle East
Barrons.com69d agobearish
Treasury Yields, Dollar Fall Amid Easing Fears of Escalation in Middle East

Falling oil prices drive Treasury yields and the dollar lower. Crude slips 3% on hopes an Israel-Lebanon ceasefire could facilitate negotiations with Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. WSJ reports President Trump wants to maintain a ceasefire with Iran unless American troops are killed, easing fears of escalation.