Theme
AI Utility
AI-native cloud / GPU-as-a-service operators.
0.565avg corr (252d)
6stocks
Decent co-movementStocks · key Fib levels
- BRUN$16.63last- fib
Sells AI compute as a metered utility (GPU hours, managed clusters) to enterprises building on top of it.
$940M backloganchored by Enterprise AI and HPC customers ($940M backlog, names undisclosed)- ▸**2023** : Boost Run founded; builds GPU-cloud infrastructure for enterprise AI / HPC
- ▸**2026-05-08** : De-SPAC merger with Willow Lane Acquisition Corp (WLAC) closed; pre-money equity value ~$441.5M, ~$112M received from the trust
- ▸**2026-05-11** : Began trading on Nasdaq under BRUN
- ▸**Backlog** : $940M in long-term contracted revenue, ~3-year average contract terms
- ▸**Hardware** : $1.44B GPU procurement agreement with Dell ($DELL)
- ▸**2026 (guide)** : ~250% revenue growth vs the prior twelve months
- ▸**Balance sheet (2025-12-31)** : cash $9.7M; working-capital deficit $21M; lease liabilities $39.7M; accumulated deficit $17M
- ▸**Coverage** : Craig-Hallum initiated Buy (inference-compute demand)
- ▸**2026-05 to 2026-07** : public warrant exercises raise over $45M gross since the business combination closed
- ▸**2026-07-21** : notice of redemption issued to all holders of outstanding public warrants; unexercised warrants redeemed at $0.01 each after 5:00pm NY on 2026-08-20, which forces the exercise decision
- ▸**2026-07-24** : ~45% of public warrants exercised for $58.8M gross; ~4.0M of the 11.47M public warrants converted, ~7.5M still outstanding. Full exercise of the remainder would take total proceeds to ~$131.9M
- ▸**Share count** : 31,895,656 Class A shares outstanding per the 10-Q cover (2026-06-01), before the warrant conversions above
- CIFR$16.85last$17.00fib−0.9%vs fib$6.9B backlog600 MWanchored by Fluidstack · GOOGL · AWS
- ▸Barber Lake: 300 MW fully contracted with Fluidstack
- ▸Google backstops $1.4B with ~5% equity stake
- ▸Separate AWS $5.5B 15-year deal for another 300 MW
- CRWV$88.99last$96.00fib−7.3%vs fib$67B backloganchored by OpenAI · META · Anthropic
- ▸~$67B contracted revenue backlog (~$88B including Anthropic)
- ▸Major commitments from OpenAI and Meta
- IREN$43.83last$43.00fib+1.9%vs fib$10B backlog2.9 GWanchored by MSFT
- ▸2025-09 - ~$10B MSFT 5-year cloud contract signed (anchor customer; backlog pinned in stocks.contracted_backlog_usd_b)
- ▸2026-05-01 - Sweetwater 1 (1.4GW Texas data center) energized - first phase of the path to 4.5GW+ grid-connected
- ▸2026-05-05 - Mirantis acquired for $625M all-stock - adds AI cloud orchestration stack; direct dilution overhang on the float
- ▸2026-05 - GPU fleet ramp target 150K incl. 50K NVIDIA B300s (path toward the $3.4B ARR target by year-end 2026)
- ▸2026-05 - Cantor cut PT $82 → $61, kept Overweight. Sell-side avg PT $62.50 - spot has been running ABOVE consensus
- ▸2026-05-07 - Q3 FY26 reports AH. Estimates: -$0.22 EPS (yfinance: -$0.26), $219.69M revenue (+43.8% YoY). Last Feb quarter was a brutal revenue miss ($184.69M vs $227.33M est) - that's what nuked the stock from $61 to $30
- ▸Snapshot 2026-05-07: spot $56.85 (intra-week pull from $67.60 high), mcap ~$18.86B, P/S ~24.9x, fwd PE ~44.9x. Gross margin 68.1%, operating margin -45.8%. Cash $3.26B vs debt $3.84B, current ratio 4.96. Beta 4.18, avg vol ~34.7M, 52w range $6.76 - $76.87
- ▸Setup tension: real catalyst stack (Sweetwater + Mirantis + 150K GPUs + $10B MSFT) priced INTO the parabola from $30 → $67 in 5 weeks, with spot now above sell-side consensus. Tonight's print needs a clean revenue beat plus AI-cloud guidance to justify the multi expansion; bear-case is recent revenue-miss history + Mirantis dilution overhang. Counter-case clean: a breakout above $77 (Oct gap top) faces zero overhead supply
- NBIS$224.55last$113.00fib+98.7%vs fib$46B backloganchored by MSFT · META · NVDA
- ▸~$46B contracted backlog
- ▸~$19B Microsoft deal
- ▸~$27B Meta partnership through 2032
- ▸$2B equity check from NVDA
- VST$148.38last$140.00fib+6.0%vs fib50.0 GWanchored by Meta · Helix Digital Infrastructure (KKR / NVIDIA / KIA) · Hyperscalers (undisclosed)
- ▸2026-01-09 - 20-year PPAs with Meta for 2,609 MW of carbon-free nuclear from the PJM fleet: 1,268 MW Perry and 908 MW Davis-Besse operating (2,176 MW), plus uprates of 213 MW Perry, 80 MW Davis-Besse and 140 MW Beaver Valley (433 MW)
- ▸Delivery schedule - part of the operating volume from late 2026, full operating delivery by year-end 2027; uprate volumes from 2031, full by year-end 2034. Largest nuclear uprates supported by a corporate customer in the US
- ▸2026-06-11 - Helix Digital Infrastructure launched by KKR with the Kuwait Investment Authority and NVIDIA, more than $10B of long-duration capital commitments, led by former AWS CEO Adam Selipsky. Vistra named preferred power provider
- ▸Cogentrix acquisition - 10 gas-fired plants, about 5.5 GW, $4B, lifting the portfolio toward ~50 GW across 18 states
- ▸Nuclear fleet - 6,448 MW: Comanche Peak (TX) plus the four former Energy Harbor reactors (Perry, Davis-Besse, Beaver Valley 1 and 2) in OH and PA. Second-largest competitive nuclear fleet in the US
- ▸Retail - TXU Energy and Dynegy serve about 5M customers, matching wholesale length against a retail book
- ▸Q2 2026 (reported 2026-08-07) - adjusted EBITDA $1.767B, up 30% year over year; FY2026 guidance reaffirmed at $6.8B to $7.6B adjusted EBITDA
Co-movement matrix (252d)
BRUN | CIFR | CRWV | IREN | NBIS | VST | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRUN | · | 0.57 | 0.74 | 0.64 | 0.78 | 0.33 |
| CIFR | 0.57 | · | 0.56 | 0.78 | 0.57 | 0.46 |
| CRWV | 0.74 | 0.56 | · | 0.60 | 0.79 | 0.34 |
| IREN | 0.64 | 0.78 | 0.60 | · | 0.61 | 0.34 |
| NBIS | 0.78 | 0.57 | 0.79 | 0.61 | · | 0.36 |
| VST | 0.33 | 0.46 | 0.34 | 0.34 | 0.36 | · |
About themes
Themes are editorial groupings - narrative buckets used for technical screens. They exist alongside bubbles, which are validated empirically by capital-flow co-movement.
When a theme's avg correlation is high, the editorial story is also tradeable as a bloc. When it's low, the narrative groups stocks that don't actually move together - useful for thinking, less useful for trading.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the top stocks in the AI Utility theme?
- QuantAbundance's AI Utility theme tracks 6 stocks ranked editorially: BRUN, CIFR, CRWV, IREN, NBIS, VST.
- Do AI Utility stocks move together?
- The AI Utility theme has a 252-day average correlation of 0.56 across its members - decent co-movement. Editorial themes are narrative groupings, not capital-flow validated; tradability follows correlation, not the story.