Paring down the central bank's balance sheet, or doing nothing at all, poses potentially dire consequences for the stock market.
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Paring down the central bank's balance sheet, or doing nothing at all, poses potentially dire consequences for the stock market.
Jerome Powell's successor and the Chicago Fed president foresee wildly different interest rate outcomes from the evolution of AI.

Investors step into the week after a Friday in the red, spurred by a stable of geopolitical uncertainties post Trump-Xi summit, rising bond yields, and sticky inflation.
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Energy prices in the United States just did something violent. The PCE energy index jumped 11.56% month-over-month in March 2026, which pushed headline inflation back up to 3.5% year-over-year after a year of relative calm. West Texas Intermediate ripped from around $60 a barrel in January to over $100 today. If you have spent the ... Gold Or Oil? This ETF Decides For You When Inflation Strikes

<body><p>STORY: Wall Street's main indexes retreated from AI-fueled record highs on Friday, with the Dow dropping 1%, the S&P 500 shedding one-and-a-quarter percent and the Nasdaq declining more than one-and-a-half percent.</p><p>Stocks moved lower as a jump in benchmark Treasury yields reflected surging energy prices and concerns about long-term inflation.</p><p>Leah Bennett is chief investment strategist at Concurrent Investment Advisors.</p><p>“Equities are trading down today primarily, I think, because people are disappointed not to see any sort of movement between Trump and Xi coming out of the summit regarding the conflict in the Middle East. So, oil is up another 4% today. We obviously saw an impact on the CPI (Consumer Price Index) and the PPI (Producer Price Index). And the longer that oil prices stay up, the longer we're going to have rising inflation. And this is the first time we've really seen the ten-year inflation expectations cross 2.5%. And historically, that's been very consistent with a period where the Fed had to increase interest rates.”</p><p>Friday marks Jerome Powell's last day as U.S. Federal Reserve chair. Incoming Chair Kevin Warsh is saddled with the potential need for a rate hike if a protracted Iran war leads to sticky inflation.</p><p>Among individual stock moves, the AI rally largely stalled, with Nvidia losing nearly 4.5%, AMD shedding more than 5.5% and Intel dropping more than 6%.</p><p>On the flip side, shares of Microsoft rose 3% following the disclosure of a new position in the company taken by Bill Ackman's hedge fund Pershing Square.</p><p>And shares of Ford slid about 7.5%, retreating from a near 21% surge over the last two sessions on optimism over the automaker's energy storage business.</p></body>
The yield on the 10-year Treasury climbed to nearly 4.6% Friday, its highest level in more than a year.
By Amanda Cooper and Karen Brettell LONDON/NEW YORK, May 15 (Reuters) - Bond markets are bracing for interest-rate pain in a way they haven't in decades, as investors assess the economic costs of the
Scott Melker reflects on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s tenure and legacy at the Federal Reserve."The Daily Wolf with Scott Melker" airs every day at 12:00 p.m. Tune in for your daily dose of all things crypto.Make sure to also check out Yahoo Finance's new crypto hub to find the latest crypto-related news.

Scott Melker discusses Senate passing the CLARITY Act with a 15-9 vote, Jerome Powell stepping down, and other big crypto headlines of the day."The Daily Wolf with Scott Melker" airs every day at 12:00 p.m. Tune in for your daily dose of all things crypto.Make sure to also check out Yahoo Finance's new crypto hub to find the latest crypto-related news.
equity fund inflows surged to a three-week high in the week to May 13 on optimism over a strong earnings season and robust revenue guidelines by chipmakers, despite a buildup in inflationary pressure. According to LSEG Lipper data, investors pumped up a net $22.
By Lewis Krauskopf NEW YORK, May 15 (Reuters) - Two themes critical to the U.S. stock market -- the artificial intelligence boom and inflation-pressured consumer spending -- will come under the
May 15 (Reuters) - Futures tracking the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 tumbled more than 1% on Friday, with an AI-driven rally in U.S. stocks poised to stall, as Treasury yields jumped on concerns about
The central bank may be transforming from Wall Street's foundation to a liability before our eyes.
Stocks looked set to fall on Friday as investors fretted about soaring Treasury yields and President Donald Trump’s summit with China's leader Xi Jinping concluded without any meaningful breakthrough on trade. “For some time, analysts have been puzzled by equity markets’ resilience in the face of rising bond yields and clear inflationary pressures,” said Kathleen Brooks, research director at the foreign-exchange brokerage XTB. “Today we may see the pressure of rising bond yields start to weigh on equities, and futures prices suggest that U.S. indices will pull back from record highs later today and could close the week on a dampener.”
By Stella Qiu SYDNEY, May 15 (Reuters) - Asian shares came under pressure on Friday as investor euphoria over tech stocks gave way to inflation fears that saw Treasury yields spike to one-year highs
Yahoo Finance's Josh Lipton takes a look at the top stories for investors to watch on Friday, May 15, including Cerebras' (CBRS) second trading day, day two of President Trump's summit in China with President Xi, and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's last day in office.
Rising Treasury yields are starting to challenge the stock market’s AI-fueled rally, as investors grapple with persistent inflation, surging government borrowing, and elevated oil prices.
South Korea's stock market is on track for another superb year as it swats away tariff and energy threats to its economy.
Higher inflation may not be as short-term as the president thinks, based on what history tells us.
Accelerating inflation has made interest rate increases more likely, and they have historically been bad news for the stock market.
The central bank that Wall Street has become accustomed to may be on the verge of significant change.
The price of Bitcoin was rising slightly but stayed below $80,000 after falling to a one-week low in the previous session. Higher-than-expected U.S. inflation data for April on Tuesday reduced the prospect of interest-rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, denting risk appetite and boosting the dollar.
Oil prices moved slightly lower on Wednesday, but markets were buoyed to new heights by the strength of the tech sector. Plus, the new Federal Reserve chair cleared his final confirmation hurdle this afternoon, which likely alleviated some lingering uncertainty at the central bank, and among investors. Incoming Fed Chair Kevin Warsh was confirmed by the Senate with a vote of 54-45 on Wednesday afternoon, becoming the 17th person to take on the job.