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The Stock Market Flashed This Warning Only Once Before. What Comes Next Isn’t Pretty
24/7 Wall St.101d agoneutral
The Stock Market Flashed This Warning Only Once Before. What Comes Next Isn’t Pretty

The stock market keeps climbing, even as investors wrestle with sticky inflation, elevated interest rates, and slowing earnings growth. The S&P 500 has returned over 26% over the past 12 months, driven largely by artificial intelligence enthusiasm and a small group of mega-cap technology stocks. But beneath the rally sits a number that deserves attention ... The Stock Market Flashed This Warning Only Once Before. What Comes Next Isn’t Pretty

S&P 500 falls from record high on Middle East worries
Reuters Videos101d agobearishVIDEO
S&P 500 falls from record high on Middle East worries

<body><p>STORY: U.S. stocks ended lower after a South Korean ship was hit by an explosion in the Strait of Hormuz.</p><p>The Dow fell more than one percent, the S&P 500 dropped four tenths of one percent after hitting a record high Friday and the Nasdaq slid about two tenths. It also climbed to a new high Friday.</p><p>Energy stocks rose after reports of the latest confrontations which appeared likely to persuade commercial shippers the strait was still unsafe after U.S. President Donald Trump said the U.S. Navy would open it.</p><p>Also, the United Arab Emirates reported a fire at an oil installation following an Iranian drone attack.</p><p>Meanwhile, in the U.S., earnings continue to far outpace predictions. S&P 500 companies are expected to post aggregate earnings growth of 28% year-over-year for the first quarter, double the expectation of 14% at the start of April, according to LSEG.</p><p>Brad Bernstein, managing director at UBS Private Wealth Management remains optimistic about stocks.</p><p>"I think markets look great going into the rest of the year. As long as this war with Iran ends, because we have incredible earnings."</p><p>(FLASH)</p><p>"Revenue growth is the best it's been in five years.&nbsp;Consumer spending, if you look at bank earnings, continues to be better than expected.&nbsp;And when you look at the underpinnings of the economy, such as manufacturing growth, we're seeing a lot of new order spend and increase&nbsp;in the underlying economy of manufacturing, which is very bullish."</p><p>:: Ebay</p><p>Individual stocks on the move Monday included GameStop which fell 10% after the video game retailer offered to buy much larger eBay for about $56 billion in a cash-and-stock deal. Shares of Ebay advanced 5%.</p><p>:: Amazon</p><p>Amazon shares gained after the e-commerce giant said it was rolling out "Amazon Supply Chain Services," opening up its logistics network for other businesses to use.</p><p>That hurt shares of UPS which plunged 10.5%, and FedEx which fell 9%.</p></body>

Stocks have never posted a losing year after a midterm election since 1950. Here’s why that matters heading into 2026 elections.
24/7 Wall St.101d agoneutral
Stocks have never posted a losing year after a midterm election since 1950. Here’s why that matters heading into 2026 elections.

Markets hate uncertainty. But they have a remarkably consistent way of handling it. Since 1950, the S&P 500 has not posted a single negative one-year return in the 12 months following a midterm election. Not one. Through 19 midterm cycles spanning Eisenhower to Biden — across recessions, oil shocks, impeachments, wars and a financial crisis ... Stocks have never posted a losing year after a midterm election since 1950. Here’s why that matters heading into 2026 elections.

The Fed Could Crush Trump’s Bull Market — Here’s the Warning Wall Street Is Missing
24/7 Wall St.102d agobearish
The Fed Could Crush Trump’s Bull Market — Here’s the Warning Wall Street Is Missing

Markets have spent months betting that President Donald Trump’s second-term agenda would extend the rally that pushed the S&P 500 to repeated highs. Tax cuts, deregulation, and aggressive reshoring policies are all catnip for investors. Since Election Day, cyclical sectors like industrials, banks, and small-cap stocks have outpaced the broader market as traders priced in ... The Fed Could Crush Trump’s Bull Market — Here’s the Warning Wall Street Is Missing

This High-Yield Emerging Funds ETF Offers International Diversification
24/7 Wall St.103d agoneutral
This High-Yield Emerging Funds ETF Offers International Diversification

The WisdomTree Emerging Markets High Dividend Fund (NYSEARCA:DEM) was built for a specific problem: U.S. investors who own the S&P 500, a few mega-cap tech names, and call it a day are sitting on a portfolio that is almost entirely tied to one currency, one economy, and one set of Federal Reserve decisions. DEM screens ... This High-Yield Emerging Funds ETF Offers International Diversification