The Treasury bond market has historically offered an effective signal right before the onset of a recession.
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No one ever said overseeing monetary policy for the world's largest economy would be easy.
The stock market's No. 1 catalyst has quickly transformed into an inflationary menace.
The president directed federal authorities to reschedule medical marijuana.
One data point doesn't make for an investment thesis.
Tuesday's inflation report was good news for one of the market's most rate-sensitive dividend payers.
Investing.com -- U.S. stock index futures were mixed on Thursday as investors weighed lingering Middle East tensions, and focused on corporate earnings and further signs that U.S. inflationary pressures are easing.

<body><p>STORY: From SK Hynix shares yo-yoing to Apple suing OpenAI...</p><p>This is AI Weekly.</p><p>:: AI Weekly</p><p>SK Hynix shares went on a wild ride after its U.S. listing last week.</p><p>Shares plunged 15% in trading on Monday, marking the South Korean chip giant's biggest one-day fall on record.</p><p>But the firm's stock bounced back almost 13% later in the week.</p><p>It followed gains made in U.S. tech stocks after softer-than-expected U.S. inflation data and upbeat analyst forecasts for AI memory demand.</p><p>Meta plans to produce AI chips this September.</p><p>That's according to a memo seen by Reuters.</p><p>The move would help Meta gain more independence from chip suppliers like Nvidia.</p><p>Apple sued OpenAI and two former employees.</p><p>The U.S. tech giant alleged misappropriation of its trade secrets to benefit the ChatGPT-maker's move into consumer hardware.</p><p>It accused OpenAI of orchestrating an effort to acquire and exploit Apple's confidential information through former employees, recruiting practices and supplier relations.</p><p>OpenAI said in a statement they "have no interest in other companies’ trade secrets."</p><p>IBM shares plunged by a quarter in one day.</p><p>Investors sold off after the U.S. tech company signaled the AI infrastructure boom has drawn spending away from the software sector.</p><p>IBM said it expected revenue to rise just 1% in the second quarter, falling short of Wall Street hopes.</p><p>The announcement added to worries over a software industry already rocked by the rise of AI tools.</p><p>And TSMC raised it forecast for capital spending by up to 14% for this year.</p><p>It comes after the chipmaker and major Nvidia supplier posted a 77% jump in second-quarter profit of $22 billion.</p><p>That was well ahead of market forecasts and the firm's ninth straight quarter of double-digit percentage growth.</p><p>Looking ahead, capital expenditure for this year is forecast to now be between $60 billion and $64 billion.</p></body>
The Federal Reserve may pivot to interest rate increases this year, a move that has often led to stock market corrections.
Warsh's hardline stance on inflation is a wake-up call for the second-priciest stock market in history.
Inflation data gave investors hope on Wednesday morning. Semiconductor stocks took it away by lunchtime.
There's more to U.S. inflation than just energy prices.
Nvidia (NVDA) stock investors have been fed a familiar playbook. More robust accelerators, higher rack prices, and another wave of hyperscaler spending were expected to propel Nvidia stock's valuation to even more stratospheric levels. Bank of America's latest semiconductor outlook, shared with me, ...
Inflation cooled faster than expected in June, but Fed Chair Kevin Warsh isn't ready to declare victory.
Jim Cramer pinpointed a single market variable that could either unlock NVIDIA's next surge or keep the stock in check, and it has nothing to do with earnings or tariffs.
US stock futures traded mixed on Tuesday as investors weighed renewed geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran ahead of a week packed with major earnings releases, key inflation data and fresh signals from the Federal Reserve. Markets are preparing for the unofficial start of the second-quarter earnings season with results from the largest US banks, while the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report and testimony from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh are expected to influence ex
Investing.com - U.S. stock futures were mixed on Tueday as renewed tensions between the United States and Iran kept investors on edge ahead of a pivotal week for markets.
An expected decline in headline inflation for June doesn't tell the full story.
The market expects the fed funds rate to be higher before this year comes to a close.
Jerome Powell's successor vowed to get the Fed "out of the fiscal business" -- but that's not happened.
Nearly three-quarters of last quarter's earnings came from a one-time tariff refund. Strip it out, and the picture gets more interesting.
Recession fears are back. This boring, dirt cheap fund has survived every recession it has faced.
No forward-looking guidance is necessary when Warsh and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) are providing decisive claims like this.
Inflation is sneaky, but here's a way you can help protect your investments.
New Fed chairman Kevin Warsh has made it clear that he is not here to rescue stocks.
Investing.com -- Artificial intelligence is adding to U.S. inflation rather than reducing it, with the current investment boom estimated to contribute roughly 0.4 percentage points to annual inflation in 2026, according to CIBC Capital Markets.
The US-Iran ceasefire is fracturing, Brent is climbing, and energy stocks are repricing fast. Whether this is a temporary spike or the beginning of a sustained oil shock will reshape the Fed's next move and every duration-sensitive position in your portfolio.
Jim Cramer just made his first bearish call in 25 years, and the trigger was not a market crash or a recession signal but a single bond deal that he says proves the AI spending machine is quietly running out of fuel.