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Paring down the central bank's balance sheet, or doing nothing at all, poses potentially dire consequences for the stock market.
Jerome Powell's successor and the Chicago Fed president foresee wildly different interest rate outcomes from the evolution of AI.
Investors step into the week after a Friday in the red, spurred by a stable of geopolitical uncertainties post Trump-Xi summit, rising bond yields, and sticky inflation.
It's incredibly rare when a sitting Fed chair interjects their opinion on stock valuations -- and when this happens, it shouldn't be ignored.
<body><p>STORY: Wall Street's main indexes retreated from AI-fueled record highs on Friday, with the Dow dropping 1%, the S&P 500 shedding one-and-a-quarter percent and the Nasdaq declining more than one-and-a-half percent.</p><p>Stocks moved lower as a jump in benchmark Treasury yields reflected surging energy prices and concerns about long-term inflation.</p><p>Leah Bennett is chief investment strategist at Concurrent Investment Advisors.</p><p>“Equities are trading down today primarily, I think, because people are disappointed not to see any sort of movement between Trump and Xi coming out of the summit regarding the conflict in the Middle East. So, oil is up another 4% today. We obviously saw an impact on the CPI (Consumer Price Index) and the PPI (Producer Price Index). And the longer that oil prices stay up, the longer we're going to have rising inflation. And this is the first time we've really seen the ten-year inflation expectations cross 2.5%. And historically, that's been very consistent with a period where the Fed had to increase interest rates.”</p><p>Friday marks Jerome Powell's last day as U.S. Federal Reserve chair. Incoming Chair Kevin Warsh is saddled with the potential need for a rate hike if a protracted Iran war leads to sticky inflation.</p><p>Among individual stock moves, the AI rally largely stalled, with Nvidia losing nearly 4.5%, AMD shedding more than 5.5% and Intel dropping more than 6%.</p><p>On the flip side, shares of Microsoft rose 3% following the disclosure of a new position in the company taken by Bill Ackman's hedge fund Pershing Square.</p><p>And shares of Ford slid about 7.5%, retreating from a near 21% surge over the last two sessions on optimism over the automaker's energy storage business.</p></body>
The S&P 500 tumbled 1.2% on Friday, the Nasdaq Composite fell 1.5% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 537 points, or 1.1%. The 30-year government bond hit its highest closing yield in nearly 20 years, at 5.127%. President Trump said that he and Chinese leader Xi Jinping “feel very similar on Iran” and both want the conflict to end.
The U.S. stock market fell from its records and joined a worldwide drop for stocks after higher oil prices sent a shiver through the bond market. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1.1%, and the Nasdaq composite sank 1.5% from its own record. The Nasdaq composite fell 410.08 points, or 1.5%, to 26,225.14.
Interest rates, economic growth expectations, inflation trends, and credit conditions often determine which parts of the market lead and which fall behind. Dow Industrials trading near the very round 50,000 level is beginning to resemble a potential double top relative to the February peak. Bearish RSI divergence, marked by lower highs in April and May even as the Dow pushed upward, suggests upside momentum is fading.
May 15 (Reuters) - Futures tracking the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 tumbled more than 1% on Friday, with an AI-driven rally in U.S. stocks poised to stall, as Treasury yields jumped on concerns about
The central bank may be transforming from Wall Street's foundation to a liability before our eyes.
Stocks looked set to fall on Friday as investors fretted about soaring Treasury yields and President Donald Trump’s summit with China's leader Xi Jinping concluded without any meaningful breakthrough on trade. “For some time, analysts have been puzzled by equity markets’ resilience in the face of rising bond yields and clear inflationary pressures,” said Kathleen Brooks, research director at the foreign-exchange brokerage XTB. “Today we may see the pressure of rising bond yields start to weigh on equities, and futures prices suggest that U.S. indices will pull back from record highs later today and could close the week on a dampener.”
The U.S. stock market rose to more records after Cisco Systems joined the parade of companies reporting fatter profits for the start of 2026 than analysts expected. The Nasdaq composite added 0.9% to its own record. Cisco led the way after talking up demand it’s seeing from AI and other customers, while oil prices held relatively steady.
We got a hot April Consumer Price Index (CPI) number, driven in a big way by energy costs, but even core CPI was surprisingly high, driven by a jump in shelter costs for the first time in a while. The April Producer Price Index (PPI) was even further above estimates. On May 12th, the ...
U.S. stocks continued their upswing as artificial intelligence remained investors’ primary focus.
May 14 (Reuters) - Wall Street stock indexes opened higher on Thursday as Nvidia's shares jumped, while investors assessed economic data and watched developments around the high-stakes U.S.-China
Thursday, Intuitive Machines reported first quarter Ebitda of $2.7 million from sales of $186.7 million. Wall Street was looking for a $7.9 million Ebitda loss from sales of $200 million.
Higher inflation may not be as short-term as the president thinks, based on what history tells us.
The central bank that Wall Street has become accustomed to may be on the verge of significant change.
The S&P 500 rose 0.6%, and the Nasdaq Composite added 1.2%. The president and a group of top business leaders are attending a summit with Chinese leader Xi Jinping. Kevin Warsh passed the final Senate vote hurdle.
Wall Street is poised to open with gains Thursday following another record-setting day and developments emerging from U.S. President Donald Trump’s summit with Chinese leader Xi Jinping in Beijing. Oil prices were effectively unchanged, with no clear ending to the Iran war after more than two months. On Thursday, the White House said Trump and Xi discussed enhancing U.S.-China economic cooperation.
Oil prices moved slightly lower on Wednesday, but markets were buoyed to new heights by the strength of the tech sector. Plus, the new Federal Reserve chair cleared his final confirmation hurdle this afternoon, which likely alleviated some lingering uncertainty at the central bank, and among investors. Incoming Fed Chair Kevin Warsh was confirmed by the Senate with a vote of 54-45 on Wednesday afternoon, becoming the 17th person to take on the job.
The S&P 500 rose 0.6%, and the Nasdaq Composite added 1.2%. The president and a group of top business leaders are attending a summit with Chinese leader Xi Jinping. Kevin Warsh passed the final Senate vote hurdle.
A rebound for technology stocks led Wall Street to records, even though the majority of U.S. stocks fell following another discouraging update on inflation. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.1%, and the Nasdaq composite climbed 1.2% to its own record. Nvidia and other tech stocks led the way, a day after stumbling in an industrywide swoon.
