Quant'AbondanceL'abondance, quantifiée.
Theme

AI Power

Power generation, fuel cells, distribution for AI datacenters.

0.387avg corr (252d)
4stocks
Weak co-movement

Stocks · key Fib levels

  • BE
    $289.50last
    $118.00fib
    $8B backlog1.2 GWanchored by Oracle · Equinix · AT&T · Walmart · Hyperscalers (undisclosed)
    • 2026-04-09 - Oracle MSA signed: up to 2.8 GW SOFC capacity commitment + warrant for Oracle to purchase 3.53M BE shares
    • 2026-04 - Initial Oracle contract: 1.2 GW capacity, deployment underway
    • 2026-05-18 - Aschenbrenner Q1 2026 13F: BE as fund's largest long, 6.5M shares ($879M) + 409K share calls ($55M notional)
    • 2026-05-19 to 2026-05-22 - Post-13F drawdown: BE down ~17% in 48 hours as the long-book trade unwound across AI-infra names; broader -43% from mid-May $290 peak to ~$164 by 2026-05-26
    • Recurring service contracts on installed base: typically 10+ year terms covering O&M, fuel stack replacements, performance guarantees
    • Customer base disclosed in SEC filings: Oracle (lead), Equinix, AT&T, Walmart, semiconductor fabs, multiple undisclosed hyperscalers
    • Setup tension: structural grid-bypass thesis (multi-year datacenter power constraint) vs near-term execution risk on SOFC manufacturing scale-up to 2.8 GW Oracle commitment; Aschenbrenner conviction signal (largest long) vs the 13F-day-2 tape unwind that took 17% off the stock
    • Editorial deep-dives: /articles/bloom-energy-be-explained, /articles/aschenbrenner-day-2-the-longs-broke-first, /articles/datacenter-power-bubble
  • NVTS
    $16.53last
    $257.00fib
    anchored by NVIDIA · Hyperscaler PSU vendors · EV OEM Tier-1 suppliers · Mobile fast-charger OEMs
    • 2026-05: Named $NVDA partner on 800V HVDC reference architecture for next-generation AI GPU rack power distribution; stock re-rated higher on the disclosure.
    • 2025-08: GeneSiC acquisition closed, adding full SiC product line and combining GaN + SiC under one roof.
    • AI data center: 4.5kW and 8.5kW GaN/SiC PSU reference designs targeting hyperscaler PSU vendors.
    • EV: 6.6kW and 11kW GaN onboard charger designs with multiple OEM and Tier-1 engagements.
    • Mobile / consumer: GaNFast devices shipping in fast chargers across $AAPL ecosystem peers, $XIACY, Oppo, and others.
  • VRT
    $311.42last
    $192.00fib
    anchored by hyperscalers (undisclosed) · Equinix · Digital Realty · colocation operators (undisclosed)
    • **2026 Q1**: Backlog reported ~$7.9B, +25% YoY; book-to-bill above 1.0x for 8th consecutive quarter
    • **2025 Q4**: Announced 360AI partnership reference architecture with $NVDA for GB200 NVL72 liquid-cooled racks
    • **2025**: Selected as primary thermal/power partner for multiple GW-scale hyperscaler campuses (customers undisclosed)
    • **2025 Q3**: CoolPhase Flex CDU released - targets 1MW+ rack densities for Blackwell/Rubin generation
    • **2024**: Acquired CoolTera (UK liquid-cooling IP) to deepen direct-to-chip and rear-door HX portfolio
    • **2024**: Multi-year framework agreements signed with top-4 US hyperscalers (names undisclosed in filings)
  • VST
    $153.16last
    $140.00fib
    anchored by META
    • 20-year PPA with Meta: 2.6 GW of nuclear power for an AI data center in Ohio (signed 2026)
    • Largest disclosed single AI-power contract of the year (size > CEG's 1.1 GW Meta deal)
    • Comanche Peak nuclear + Texas gas-peaker fleet positions VST as top dual-fuel AI utility
    • Already in the Claude-managed fund (~10% weight, migration 019)

Co-movement matrix (252d)

BE
NVTS
VRT
VST
BE·0.380.570.40
NVTS0.38·0.340.22
VRT0.570.34·0.42
VST0.400.220.42·

About themes

Themes are editorial groupings - narrative buckets used for technical screens. They exist alongside bubbles, which are validated empirically by capital-flow co-movement.

When a theme's avg correlation is high, the editorial story is also tradeable as a bloc. When it's low, the narrative groups stocks that don't actually move together - useful for thinking, less useful for trading.

Related research

Frequently asked questions

What are the top stocks in the AI Power theme?
QuantAbundancia's AI Power theme tracks 4 stocks ranked editorially: BE, NVTS, VRT, VST.
Do AI Power stocks move together?
The AI Power theme has a 252-day average correlation of 0.39 across its members - weak co-movement. Editorial themes are narrative groupings, not capital-flow validated; tradability follows correlation, not the story.