Theme
AI Utility
AI-native cloud / GPU-as-a-service operators.
0.573avg corr (252d)
5stocks
Decent co-movementStocks · key Fib levels
- BRUN$33.50last- fib
Sells AI compute as a metered utility (GPU hours, managed clusters) to enterprises building on top of it.
anchored by Enterprise AI and HPC customers ($940M backlog, names undisclosed)- ▸**2023** : Boost Run founded; builds GPU-cloud infrastructure for enterprise AI / HPC
- ▸**2026-05-08** : De-SPAC merger with Willow Lane Acquisition Corp (WLAC) closed; pre-money equity value ~$441.5M, ~$112M received from the trust
- ▸**2026-05-11** : Began trading on Nasdaq under BRUN
- ▸**Backlog** : $940M in long-term contracted revenue, ~3-year average contract terms
- ▸**Hardware** : $1.44B GPU procurement agreement with Dell ($DELL)
- ▸**2026 (guide)** : ~250% revenue growth vs the prior twelve months
- ▸**Balance sheet (2025-12-31)** : cash $9.7M; working-capital deficit $21M; lease liabilities $39.7M; accumulated deficit $17M
- ▸**Coverage** : Craig-Hallum initiated Buy (inference-compute demand)
- CIFR$22.84last$17.00fib+34.4%vs fib$6.9B backlog600 MWanchored by Fluidstack · GOOGL · AWS
- ▸Barber Lake: 300 MW fully contracted with Fluidstack
- ▸Google backstops $1.4B with ~5% equity stake
- ▸Separate AWS $5.5B 15-year deal for another 300 MW
- CRWV$85.69last$96.00fib−10.7%vs fib$67B backloganchored by OpenAI · META · Anthropic
- ▸~$67B contracted revenue backlog (~$88B including Anthropic)
- ▸Major commitments from OpenAI and Meta
- IREN$43.32last$43.00fib+0.7%vs fib$10B backlog2.9 GWanchored by MSFT
- ▸2025-09 - ~$10B MSFT 5-year cloud contract signed (anchor customer; backlog pinned in stocks.contracted_backlog_usd_b)
- ▸2026-05-01 - Sweetwater 1 (1.4GW Texas data center) energized - first phase of the path to 4.5GW+ grid-connected
- ▸2026-05-05 - Mirantis acquired for $625M all-stock - adds AI cloud orchestration stack; direct dilution overhang on the float
- ▸2026-05 - GPU fleet ramp target 150K incl. 50K NVIDIA B300s (path toward the $3.4B ARR target by year-end 2026)
- ▸2026-05 - Cantor cut PT $82 → $61, kept Overweight. Sell-side avg PT $62.50 - spot has been running ABOVE consensus
- ▸2026-05-07 - Q3 FY26 reports AH. Estimates: -$0.22 EPS (yfinance: -$0.26), $219.69M revenue (+43.8% YoY). Last Feb quarter was a brutal revenue miss ($184.69M vs $227.33M est) - that's what nuked the stock from $61 to $30
- ▸Snapshot 2026-05-07: spot $56.85 (intra-week pull from $67.60 high), mcap ~$18.86B, P/S ~24.9x, fwd PE ~44.9x. Gross margin 68.1%, operating margin -45.8%. Cash $3.26B vs debt $3.84B, current ratio 4.96. Beta 4.18, avg vol ~34.7M, 52w range $6.76 - $76.87
- ▸Setup tension: real catalyst stack (Sweetwater + Mirantis + 150K GPUs + $10B MSFT) priced INTO the parabola from $30 → $67 in 5 weeks, with spot now above sell-side consensus. Tonight's print needs a clean revenue beat plus AI-cloud guidance to justify the multi expansion; bear-case is recent revenue-miss history + Mirantis dilution overhang. Counter-case clean: a breakout above $77 (Oct gap top) faces zero overhead supply
- NBIS$229.18last$113.00fib+102.8%vs fib$46B backloganchored by MSFT · META · NVDA
- ▸~$46B contracted backlog
- ▸~$19B Microsoft deal
- ▸~$27B Meta partnership through 2032
- ▸$2B equity check from NVDA
Co-movement matrix (252d)
BRUN | CIFR | CRWV | IREN | NBIS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRUN | · | 0.43 | 0.69 | 0.50 | 0.74 |
| CIFR | 0.43 | · | 0.44 | 0.78 | 0.49 |
| CRWV | 0.69 | 0.44 | · | 0.48 | 0.66 |
| IREN | 0.50 | 0.78 | 0.48 | · | 0.53 |
| NBIS | 0.74 | 0.49 | 0.66 | 0.53 | · |
About themes
Themes are editorial groupings - narrative buckets used for technical screens. They exist alongside bubbles, which are validated empirically by capital-flow co-movement.
When a theme's avg correlation is high, the editorial story is also tradeable as a bloc. When it's low, the narrative groups stocks that don't actually move together - useful for thinking, less useful for trading.
Related research
·8 min read
Neoclouds ranked by risk-adjusted value: CoreWeave, Nebius, IREN, Applied Digital, SharonAI
·7 min read
Boost Run (BRUN): what it does, the $940M backlog, and the financing gap
·7 min read
Expirations de lockup des IPO IA : dates de CoreWeave, Circle, Cerebras et Nebius
·8 min read
Nebius (NBIS) : ce que fait l'entreprise, le carnet de commandes de 50 Md$ Microsoft-Meta, et la lecture en « utility » de l'IA
Frequently asked questions
- What are the top stocks in the AI Utility theme?
- QuantAbundancia's AI Utility theme tracks 5 stocks ranked editorially: BRUN, CIFR, CRWV, IREN, NBIS.
- Do AI Utility stocks move together?
- The AI Utility theme has a 252-day average correlation of 0.57 across its members - decent co-movement. Editorial themes are narrative groupings, not capital-flow validated; tradability follows correlation, not the story.