Quant'AbondanceL'abondance, quantifiée.
Theme

AI Utility

AI-native cloud / GPU-as-a-service operators.

0.553avg corr (252d)
5stocks
Decent co-movement

Stocks · key Fib levels

  • BRUN
    $38.81last
    - fib

    Sells AI compute as a metered utility (GPU hours, managed clusters) to enterprises building on top of it.

    anchored by Enterprise AI and HPC customers ($940M backlog, names undisclosed)
    • **2023** : Boost Run founded; builds GPU-cloud infrastructure for enterprise AI / HPC
    • **2026-05-08** : De-SPAC merger with Willow Lane Acquisition Corp (WLAC) closed; pre-money equity value ~$441.5M, ~$112M received from the trust
    • **2026-05-11** : Began trading on Nasdaq under BRUN
    • **Backlog** : $940M in long-term contracted revenue, ~3-year average contract terms
    • **Hardware** : $1.44B GPU procurement agreement with Dell ($DELL)
    • **2026 (guide)** : ~250% revenue growth vs the prior twelve months
    • **Balance sheet (2025-12-31)** : cash $9.7M; working-capital deficit $21M; lease liabilities $39.7M; accumulated deficit $17M
    • **Coverage** : Craig-Hallum initiated Buy (inference-compute demand)
  • CIFR
    $24.50last
    $17.00fib
    $6.9B backlog600 MWanchored by Fluidstack · GOOGL · AWS
    • Barber Lake: 300 MW fully contracted with Fluidstack
    • Google backstops $1.4B with ~5% equity stake
    • Separate AWS $5.5B 15-year deal for another 300 MW
  • CRWV
    $99.54last
    $96.00fib
    $67B backloganchored by OpenAI · META · Anthropic
    • ~$67B contracted revenue backlog (~$88B including Anthropic)
    • Major commitments from OpenAI and Meta
  • IREN
    $45.73last
    $43.00fib
    $10B backlog2.9 GWanchored by MSFT
    • 2025-09 - ~$10B MSFT 5-year cloud contract signed (anchor customer; backlog pinned in stocks.contracted_backlog_usd_b)
    • 2026-05-01 - Sweetwater 1 (1.4GW Texas data center) energized - first phase of the path to 4.5GW+ grid-connected
    • 2026-05-05 - Mirantis acquired for $625M all-stock - adds AI cloud orchestration stack; direct dilution overhang on the float
    • 2026-05 - GPU fleet ramp target 150K incl. 50K NVIDIA B300s (path toward the $3.4B ARR target by year-end 2026)
    • 2026-05 - Cantor cut PT $82 → $61, kept Overweight. Sell-side avg PT $62.50 - spot has been running ABOVE consensus
    • 2026-05-07 - Q3 FY26 reports AH. Estimates: -$0.22 EPS (yfinance: -$0.26), $219.69M revenue (+43.8% YoY). Last Feb quarter was a brutal revenue miss ($184.69M vs $227.33M est) - that's what nuked the stock from $61 to $30
    • Snapshot 2026-05-07: spot $56.85 (intra-week pull from $67.60 high), mcap ~$18.86B, P/S ~24.9x, fwd PE ~44.9x. Gross margin 68.1%, operating margin -45.8%. Cash $3.26B vs debt $3.84B, current ratio 4.96. Beta 4.18, avg vol ~34.7M, 52w range $6.76 - $76.87
    • Setup tension: real catalyst stack (Sweetwater + Mirantis + 150K GPUs + $10B MSFT) priced INTO the parabola from $30 → $67 in 5 weeks, with spot now above sell-side consensus. Tonight's print needs a clean revenue beat plus AI-cloud guidance to justify the multi expansion; bear-case is recent revenue-miss history + Mirantis dilution overhang. Counter-case clean: a breakout above $77 (Oct gap top) faces zero overhead supply
  • NBIS
    $276.17last
    $113.00fib
    $46B backloganchored by MSFT · META · NVDA
    • ~$46B contracted backlog
    • ~$19B Microsoft deal
    • ~$27B Meta partnership through 2032
    • $2B equity check from NVDA

Co-movement matrix (252d)

BRUN
CIFR
CRWV
IREN
NBIS
BRUN·0.380.630.480.69
CIFR0.38·0.430.780.48
CRWV0.630.43·0.480.66
IREN0.480.780.48·0.53
NBIS0.690.480.660.53·

About themes

Themes are editorial groupings - narrative buckets used for technical screens. They exist alongside bubbles, which are validated empirically by capital-flow co-movement.

When a theme's avg correlation is high, the editorial story is also tradeable as a bloc. When it's low, the narrative groups stocks that don't actually move together - useful for thinking, less useful for trading.

Related research

Frequently asked questions

What are the top stocks in the AI Utility theme?
QuantAbundancia's AI Utility theme tracks 5 stocks ranked editorially: BRUN, CIFR, CRWV, IREN, NBIS.
Do AI Utility stocks move together?
The AI Utility theme has a 252-day average correlation of 0.55 across its members - decent co-movement. Editorial themes are narrative groupings, not capital-flow validated; tradability follows correlation, not the story.